BowmanD Playoff Chances LL65Beat AndrewsS 7-6, Lost to BourkeR 2-3, Beat ConeCW 7-1, Beat CurtinT 5-3, Beat EsneaultG 5-3, Beat FreezeB 8-4, Beat GelfandJ 6-3, Tied GrecoD 6-6, Lost to HartleyK 2-4, Beat HudsonB 4-3, Tied MuttrejaR 4-4, Beat RizzoA 5-0, Beat SkardonS 8-3, Beat WatsonKR 3-1, Plays at BreedingT 11:59 PM, Lost to BrowneL 2-4, Lost to ColemanK 4-6, Beat ErnstS 5-4, Lost to GrecoG 4-7, Plays at HeffnerE 11:59 PM, Plays at JeziorskiM 11:59 PM, Beat LeeD2 7-4, Beat PriceE 3-0 (ot), Beat SharpJ 8-7, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, playoff odds up 64.3 to 99.99% 30 points 14 5-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | BowmanD 6 GelfandJ 3 | +8.6 | | +6.3 | | -3.8 | | +1.3 | | BowmanD 5 EsneaultG 3 | +8.3 | | +5.9 | | -5.8 | | +1.5 | | BowmanD 2 BourkeR 3 | -8.3 | | -8.3 | | +3.1 | | -1.3 | | BowmanD 8 SkardonS 3 | +8.2 | | +4.6 | | -8.0 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 4 HudsonB 3 | +7.3 | | +6.2 | | -3.7 | | +1.2 | | BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 | +6.2 | | +5.3 | | -1.5 | | +0.8 | | BowmanD 5 CurtinT 3 | +6.2 | | +8.9 | | -0.6 | | +0.9 | | BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 | +4.7 | | +9.8 | | | | +0.9 | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | +1.5 | | +6.5 | | | | +0.5 | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +1.2 | | +8.8 | | | | +0.6 | | AndrewsS 6 BowmanD 7 | +1.1 | | +15.2 | | | | +0.8 | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | -0.8 | | -12.5 | | | | -0.7 | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | -0.3 | | +0.9 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | +0.3 | | +6.0 | | No | | +0.3 | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | | | +12.7 | | | | +0.6 | | LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 | | | +13.4 | | | | +0.7 | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | +1.5 | | | | | | BowmanD 4 MuttrejaR 4 | *+0.2 | | -0.8 | | -0.3 | | | | AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | -14.2 | | | | -0.7 | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | +2.0 | | | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 BreedingT 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | -1.5 | | | | | | BowmanD 6 GrecoD 6 | | | -0.3 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | | | +6.9 | | | | +0.3 | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | | | -2.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 1 ColemanK 4 | | | +0.7 | | | | | | LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | | | -18.6 | | | | -0.7 | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | | | +2.6 | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | | | -4.1 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | -10.8 | | | | -0.4 | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | | | -3.6 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | | | -2.8 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | +5.5 | | | | +0.2 | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | | | -4.9 | | | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | +3.9 | | | | +0.2 | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -2.7 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -2.6 | | | | | | BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +2.5 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 | | | -1.8 | | | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +1.6 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | +1.5 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | -1.5 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.5 | | | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -1.4 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 AndrewsS 9 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.8 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.5 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | LeeD2 3 GrecoD 6 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.3 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BreedingT 6 | | | | | *No | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | BreedingT vs BowmanD | | | -18.6-23.6-8.8+5.9+6.8 | | | | -0.8-1.3-0.3+0.3+0.3 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | | | -17.3-23.2-6.2+9.6+10.7 | | | | -0.7-1.2-0.2+0.4+0.4 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | | | +4.6+7.8-0.3-3.7-4.2 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs GrecoD | | | +6.6+11.6+1.7-1.8-2.0 | | | | +0.2+0.4+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | +5.5+8.4+0.7-3.0-3.4 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | +7.0+9.1+2.0-1.7-1.8 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | RizzoA vs AndrewsS | | | +4.7+9.9+1.5-0.7-0.8 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.1-0.0-0.0 | | ColemanK vs GrecoD | | | +2.0+6.6-1.8-3.6-3.9 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1 | | TavelP vs JeziorskiM | | | +7.7+9.5+2.8-0.8-0.9 | | | | +0.2+0.3+0.1-0.0-0.0 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | +2.8+7.8*+0.1-1.4-1.4 | | | | +0.1+0.3+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the BowmanD finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 92.3 | % | 0 | 14 | 44 | 35 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,135,443 | | 37 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 57.9 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 33 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,411,637 | | 36 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 21.3 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,866,519 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 23.4 | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 342,190 | | 35 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 4.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 62 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,783,085 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 6.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 58 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 494,431 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 4.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 61 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,090 | | 34 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 65 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,088,957 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 65 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 268,884 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 66 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 227,993 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0.6 | | | | | 1 | 11 | 63 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,405 | | 33 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 43 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 601,415 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 52 | 38 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 533,967 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 54 | 37 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,805 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 45 | 43 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,455 | | 32 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 19 | 46 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 391,762 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 23 | 48 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 153,492 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 19 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,338 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 27 | 49 | 22 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,545 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | In | No | | | | | 0 | 24 | 48 | 25 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,703 | | 31 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,475 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 52,432 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,983 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 100.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,147 | | 30 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 98.5 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 33 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,366 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 99.3 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 38 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,866 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 99.8 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 42 | 35 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,136 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 99.6 | | No | | | | | | 3 | 15 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 716 | | 29 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 92.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,670 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 94.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,523 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 95.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 812 | | 28 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 73.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,846 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 77.1 | | No | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 30 | 42 | 21 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109 | | 27 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 39.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | 11 | 28 | 42 | 15 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 159 | | 26 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 25.8 | % | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |