How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Pres Trophy
NYI 0 MTL 4 +5.3
MTL 1 STL 0 +5.2
EDM 3 CAL 2 +4.1
CAL 6 CHI 4 -3.8
TOR 2 EDM 8 -0.6
STL 0 NJD 1 -0.4
NJD 9 DET 5 -0.3
Monday100.0*Pres Trophy
MTL 4 PIT 3 (ot)+5.1
ANA 6 MTL 7 +5.1
CAL 5 SJS 6 +4.4
DET 5 CAL 4 (ot)+1.0
DAL 2 EDM 7 -0.9
EDM 6 PHX 0 -0.8
NJD 4 TOR 2 -0.6
OTT 2 NJD 1 +0.5
TOR 2 DET 8 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MTL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678Count
101-104In99.8%10016,153*
100122-0In99.1100027,640*
99112-1In97.5100052,599*
98102-2In94.3100053,900
113-0In94.7100048,950*
97103-1In88.7991111,418
92-3In87.399146,856*
9693-2In78.3982135,328
104-0In80.498286,863
82-4In76.297324,819*
9594-1In66.09550210,458
83-3In62.89460109,106*
9484-2In47.689110230,639
95-0In51.89190130,727
73-4In44.38713051,252*
9385-1In32.481190285,173
74-3In29.078210149,928
63-5In27.17525016,960*
9275-2In16.367321279,983
86-0In19.671281148,469
64-4In14.26336268,163*
9176-1In8.054433288,152
65-3In6.349474158,774
54-5In5.44550519,442*
9066-2In2.3355690246,017
77-0In3.340537128,077
55-4In1.731581261,771*
8967-1In0.72360170218,070
56-3In0.41960210119,887
45-5In0.316612414,762*
8857-2In0.11057330159,562
68-0In0.2145927085,318
46-4In0.185437039,069*
8758-1In0.0549460123,677
47-3In0.044552072,577*
8648-2InNo13464175,495
59-0InNo23859142,692
37-4InNo13068116,670*
8549-1InNo023742051,816
38-3InNo019783026,969*
8439-2InNo011827030,192*
410-0InNo01481516,298*
83310-1InNo058113022,465*
82210-2InNo27423111,019*
81211-1InNo0603724,277*
80212-0InNo0464861,726*
79112-1InNo265816468*
78113-0InNo175726150*
77013-1InNo9613023
76014-0InNo34156673
Total:In27.9%573012004,321,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs