Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 16 50/50

Plays at CAL, Plays SJS, Lost to EDM 11-24, playoff odds down 7.6 to 22.2%

37 points 17 30-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the DAL finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

63	13	0		-	0	In		No				2	97	1			1,208
62	12	0		-	1	In		No				0	93	7			1,626
61	12	1		-	0	99.8	%	No				0	87	13	0		7,505	*
60	11	1		-	1	99.1		No				0	73	26	1		17,400	*
59	11	2		-	0	97.6		No				0	62	35	2		23,461
	10	1		-	2	96.3		No				0	56	41	4		21,720	*
58	10	2		-	1	92.3		No					43	50	8		63,182
	9	1		-	3	88.8		No					36	53	11		17,289	*
57	9	2		-	2	80.9		No					24	57	19		76,881
	10	3		-	0	84.1		No					28	56	16		74,218	*
56	9	3		-	1	69.8		No					15	55	30		159,370
	8	2		-	3	63.0		No					10	53	37		60,011	*
55	8	3		-	2	50.7		No					6	45	49		174,621
	9	4		-	0	57.1		No					8	49	43		123,674
	7	2		-	4	43.2		No					3	40	57		28,610	*
54	8	4		-	1	38.0		No					3	35	62		271,471
	7	3		-	3	31.2		No					1	30	69		122,624	*
53	7	4		-	2	22.0		No					1	21	78		264,020
	8	5		-	0	26.6		No					1	26	73		167,707
	6	3		-	4	16.6		No					0	16	83		50,610	*
52	7	5		-	1	14.0		No					0	14	86		327,349
	6	4		-	3	10.6		No					0	11	89		150,207
	5	3		-	5	7.6		No					0	8	92		14,413	*
51	6	5		-	2	6.4		No					0	6	94		278,567
	7	6		-	0	8.2		No					0	8	92		169,015
	5	4		-	4	4.3		No					0	4	96		57,686	*
50	6	6		-	1	3.4		No					0	3	97		288,546
	5	5		-	3	2.3		No						2	98		135,974
	4	4		-	5	1.4		No						1	99		13,716	*
49	5	6		-	2	1.2		No					0	1	99		211,892
	6	7		-	0	1.7		No						2	98		127,788
	4	5		-	4	0.7		No						1	99		43,448	*
48	5	7		-	1	0.5		No						1	99	0	187,609
	4	6		-	3	0.3		No						0	100	0	93,829	*
47	4	7		-	2	0.1		No						0	100	0	113,635
	5	8		-	0	0.2		No						0	100	0	72,689
	3	6		-	4	0.1		No						0	100	0	21,975	*
46	4	8		-	1	0.1		No						0	100	0	88,362
	3	7		-	3	0.0		No						0	100	0	39,978	*
45	3	8		-	2	0.0		No						0	100	0	43,154
	4	9		-	0	0.0		No						0	100	0	37,691	*
44	3	9		-	1	0.0		No						0	99	1	29,808
	2	8		-	3	Out		No							99	1	11,256	*
43	2	9		-	2	Out		No							98	2	21,175	*
42	2	10		-	1	0.0		No						0	95	5	8,617	*
41	2	11		-	0	Out		No							91	9	3,643	*
40	1	11		-	1	Out		No							82	18	1,124	*
39	1	12		-	0	Out		No							76	24	363	*
38	0	12		-	1	Out		No							65	35	72
37	0	13		-	0	Out		No							50	50	683

Total:						22.2	%	No				0	4	18	78	0	4,321,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

63	13	0		-	0								2		97	1
62	12	0		-	1								0		93	7
61	12	1		-	0								0	0	87	13				0
60	11	1		-	1								0		73	26				1
59	11	2		-	0								0		62	35	0			2
	10	1		-	2								0		56	41				4
58	10	2		-	1										43	49	0			8
	9	1		-	3										36	53	0			11
57	9	2		-	2										24	57	0			19
	10	3		-	0										28	56	0			16
56	9	3		-	1										15	55	0			30
	8	2		-	3										10	52	0			37
55	8	3		-	2										6	44	1			49
	9	4		-	0										8	48	1			43
	7	2		-	4										3	39	1			57
54	8	4		-	1										3	34	1			62
	7	3		-	3										1	29	1			69
53	7	4		-	2										1	20	2			78
	8	5		-	0										1	24	2			73
	6	3		-	4										0	15	1			83
52	7	5		-	1										0	12	2			86
	6	4		-	3										0	9	1			89
	5	3		-	5										0	6	1			92
51	6	5		-	2										0	5	1			94
	7	6		-	0										0	7	2			92
	5	4		-	4										0	3	1			96
50	6	6		-	1										0	2	1			97
	5	5		-	3											2	1			98
	4	4		-	5											1	0			99
49	5	6		-	2										0	1	1			99
	6	7		-	0											1	1			98
	4	5		-	4											0	0			99
48	5	7		-	1											0	0			99	0
	4	6		-	3											0	0			100	0
47	4	7		-	2											0	0			100	0
	5	8		-	0											0	0			100	0
	3	6		-	4											0	0			100	0
46	4	8		-	1											0	0			100	0
	3	7		-	3											0	0			100	0
45	3	8		-	2												0			100	0
	4	9		-	0											0	0			100	0
44	3	9		-	1												0			99	1
	2	8		-	3															99	1
43	2	9		-	2															98	2
42	2	10		-	1												0			95	5
41	2	11		-	0															91	9
40	1	11		-	1															82	18
39	1	12		-	0															76	24
38	0	12		-	1															65	35
37	0	13		-	0															50	50

Total:													0	0	4	17	1			78	0