Toronto Marlies Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Beat Manchester Monarchs 6-1, Beat Providence Bruins 7-1, playoff odds up 27 to 93.9%
93 points 44 31-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | +13.8 | +0.3 | ||
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | +13.7 | +0.3 | ||
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | +6.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | -6.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 | +0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Rochester Americans 4 Hamilton Bulldogs 3 (ot) | *+0.5 | |||
| Lake Erie Monsters 15 Worcester Sharks 2 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | -1.7-1.7+1.7+1.7 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | -8.4InInIn | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -8.4InInIn | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | +3.9+4.0-3.8-3.9 | |||
| San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars | -3.9-3.9+3.9+3.9 | |||
| Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves | +1.7+1.7-1.8-1.7 | |||
| Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack | -1.7-1.7+1.7+1.7 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Toronto Marlies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||||
| 94 | -97 | In | No | 100 | 1,239,152 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 65.5 | % | No | 65 | 31 | 3 | 268,348 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 93.9 | % | No | 94 | 6 | 1 | 1,507,500 | ||||||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | -1.0 | |
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | -0.9 | |
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | -0.2 | |
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | +0.2 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | -0.1 | |
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | +0.1 | |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | +0.1 | |
| Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 | -0.1 | |
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | -0.1 | |
| Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 | -0.1 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | +0.1 | |
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | -0.1 | |
| Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot) | +0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | +1.0-0.3-0.8-0.8 | |
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | +1.0-0.3-0.8-0.8 | |
| Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | +0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms | -0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins | +0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 97 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 75 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 59 | 37 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 29 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
