"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Average seed
Binghamton Senators 1 Texas Stars 3 +0.5
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins 1 Charlotte Checkers 3 -0.2
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 +0.2
Rockford IceHogs 4 Bridgeport Sound Tigers 6 +0.2
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 -0.1
Oklahoma City Barons 2 Texas Stars 4 +0.1
Abbotsford Heat 0 Charlotte Checkers 1 -0.1
Iowa Wild 4 Milwaukee Admirals 0 -0.0
Iowa Wild 5 Hartford Wolf Pack 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Average seed
Texas Stars vs Charlotte Checkers+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.4
Charlotte Checkers vs Binghamton Senators-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.4
San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars-0.4+0.1+0.2+0.2
Abbotsford Heat vs Hershey Bears-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Syracuse Crunch vs Abbotsford Heat+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
10820-0InNo1135541,164,081
10710-1InNo21187319,570
105-106InNo1002,004,089*
10402-0InNo5842632,660
Total:InNo3118064,120,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs