"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Springfield Falcons Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Plays at Chicago Wolves, Beat Rockford IceHogs 4-2, playoff odds up 35.5 to 82.5%
90 points 42 31-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | +16.9 | +0.5 | ||
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | +8.1 | +0.2 | ||
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | +6.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | +6.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | -5.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | +1.9 | +0.1 | ||
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | +1.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 | +1.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot) | -1.5 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | -13.8-6.2+12.7+12.6 | -0.7-0.4+0.6+0.6 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | -13.7-6.5+12.7+12.6 | -0.7-0.4+0.6+0.6 | ||
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | -13.7-6.6+12.6+12.6 | -0.7-0.4+0.6+0.6 | ||
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | +10.0-1.6-8.2-8.2 | +0.0-0.1-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans | -8.2-7.9-1.7+10.0 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms | +2.4-1.0-1.9-1.8 | +0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins | -1.8-1.9-1.1+2.4 | -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins | -1.8-1.6-1.0+2.3 | -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | -1.7-1.7-1.0+2.2 | -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Hamilton Bulldogs vs St. John's Ice Caps | +0.3+0.6-0.3-0.4 | |||
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -0.3*-0.2+0.4+0.3 | |||
| Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs | +0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Springfield Falcons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||||
| 96 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 67 | 33 | 188,151 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 14 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 87,012 | ||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 8 | 45 | 38 | 9 | 478,647 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 95.8 | % | No | 1 | 18 | 49 | 28 | 4 | 13,488 | |||||||||||||||
| 93 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 85.7 | No | 4 | 29 | 52 | 14 | 147,316 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 79.4 | No | 2 | 24 | 53 | 21 | 684 | |||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 77.9 | No | 2 | 21 | 55 | 22 | 404,693 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 38.6 | No | 4 | 34 | 61 | 11,064 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 24.4 | No | 24 | 76 | 62,316 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 13.5 | No | 13 | 66 | 20 | 114,129 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 82.5 | % | No | 12 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 1,507,500 | |||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | -1.0 | |
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | -0.2 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | -0.2 | |
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | -0.2 | |
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | -0.1 | |
| Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 | -0.1 | |
| Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 | -0.1 | |
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | +0.1 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | +0.1 | |
| Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot) | +0.1 | |
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | -0.1 | |
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | +0.0 | |
| Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 | -0.0 | |
| Rochester Americans 4 Hamilton Bulldogs 3 (ot) | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | +1.0+0.6-0.9-0.9 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | +1.0+0.6-0.9-0.9 | |
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | +1.0+0.6-0.9-0.9 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans | +0.2+0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms | -0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | -0.1+0.1+0.2+0.0 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | +0.1+0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 96 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 50 | 41 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 31 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 44 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 29 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 21 | 55 | 13 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 27 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 24 | 4 | 28 | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 13 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
