Springfield Falcons Playoff Chances 2014
Plays at Chicago Wolves, Beat Rockford IceHogs 4-2, playoff odds up 43.3 to 77.8%
90 points 42 31-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | +18.1 | +0.5 | ||
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | +14.6 | +0.3 | ||
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | +10.6 | +0.2 | ||
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | -5.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | +5.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | +2.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 | +1.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 | +1.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot) | -1.5 | -0.0 | ||
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | +0.9 | +0.1 | ||
| St. John's Ice Caps 3 Utica Comets 4 (ot) | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | -16.8-8.9+14.9+14.9 | -0.7-0.4+0.6+0.6 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | -13.5-6.1+15.9+15.9 | -0.6-0.3+0.7+0.7 | ||
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | -12.5-5.2+16.1+16.1 | -0.6-0.3+0.7+0.7 | ||
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | +12.1-2.7-10.6-10.5 | +0.1-0.1-0.2-0.0 | ||
| Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans | -9.3-9.3-1.3+12.8 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2 | ||
| Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins | -1.6-1.5-0.5+3.9 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.3 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins | -1.8-1.7-1.0+2.8 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | -1.8-2.0-1.0+2.4 | -0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2 | ||
| Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms | +1.8-1.0-1.6-1.6 | +0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Hamilton Bulldogs vs St. John's Ice Caps | +0.4+0.3-0.3-0.5 | |||
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -0.4-0.4+0.3+0.4 | |||
| Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs | +0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Springfield Falcons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||||
| 96 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 68 | 32 | 381,815 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 12 | 48 | 33 | 7 | 215,019 | ||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 7 | 41 | 41 | 11 | 1,180,488 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 95.1 | % | No | 1 | 15 | 47 | 32 | 5 | 39,645 | |||||||||||||||
| 93 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 83.2 | No | 3 | 24 | 56 | 17 | 438,319 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 74.4 | No | 2 | 19 | 54 | 26 | 2,480 | |||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 75.2 | No | 1 | 17 | 57 | 25 | 1,202,108 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 34.0 | No | 3 | 31 | 66 | 39,909 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 23.5 | No | 23 | 77 | 219,123 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 13.3 | No | 13 | 68 | 19 | 401,494 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 77.8 | % | No | 9 | 18 | 21 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 4,120,400 | |||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | -1.1 | |
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | -0.4 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | -0.3 | |
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | -0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | -0.1 | |
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | -0.1 | |
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | +0.1 | |
| Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 | -0.1 | |
| Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 | -0.1 | |
| Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 | -0.1 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | +0.1 | |
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | +0.1 | |
| Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot) | +0.1 | |
| Rochester Americans 4 Hamilton Bulldogs 3 (ot) | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | +1.1+0.6-0.9-1.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | +0.9+0.5-1.0-1.1 | |
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | +0.8+0.4-1.1-1.1 | |
| Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans | +0.2+0.2+0.0-0.3 | |
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | -0.2+0.1+0.3+0.1 | |
| Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.3 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms | -0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | +0.1+0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves | -0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0 | |
| Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack | +0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 96 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 51 | 41 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 26 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 24 | 56 | 10 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 2 | 19 | 54 | 12 | 13 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 17 | 57 | 12 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 35 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 23 | 2 | 25 | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 13 | 1 | 19 | 54 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
