San Antonio Rampage Playoff Chances 2014
Beat Hershey Bears 7-3, Lost to Syracuse Crunch 3-6, playoff odds down 21.7 to 2.2%
89 points 42 33-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | -8.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | -8.3 | -0.1 | ||
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | -6.1 | -0.4 | ||
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | +5.2 | +0.3 | ||
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | -2.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 | +0.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Rochester Americans 4 Hamilton Bulldogs 3 (ot) | *+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | -0.7-0.8+0.7+0.7 | -0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | +3.5OutOutOut | |||
| San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars | +3.2+2.6OutOut | +0.3+0.3+0.2-0.3 | ||
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | +2.7OutOutOut | |||
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | OutOut+1.9+2.5 | -0.3+0.1+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves | +0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3 | +0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack | -0.3-0.3+0.7+0.7 | -0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Hamilton Bulldogs vs St. John's Ice Caps | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Hamilton Bulldogs vs Worcester Sharks | -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the San Antonio Rampage finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||||
| 93 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 11.1 | % | No | 11 | 68 | 21 | 824,743 | ||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | Out | No | 69 | 31 | 315,574 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | Out | No | 29 | 71 | 1,731,239 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | Out | No | 30 | 70 | 29,523 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | 23 | 77 | 325,220 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 60 | 37 | 894,101 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.2 | % | No | 2 | 34 | 56 | 8 | 4,120,400 | |||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 | +0.9 | |
| Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 | -0.6 | |
| Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 | +0.2 | |
| Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 | +0.2 | |
| Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 | +0.1 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 | +0.1 | |
| Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 | -0.1 | |
| Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 | -0.1 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 | -0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 | -0.1 | |
| Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot) | +0.0 | |
| Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars | -0.7-0.6-0.3+0.6 | |
| Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage | +0.7-0.2-0.6-0.6 | |
| Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves | -0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1 | |
| Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack | +0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3 | |
| Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies | -0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
| Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies | -0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Hamilton Bulldogs vs Worcester Sharks | +0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 93 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 64 | 24 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 57 | 40 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 49 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 8 | 48 | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 37 | 59 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 39 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 32 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
