How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 -20.9
-0.7
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 -12.7
-0.6
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 -5.2
-0.1
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 +4.1
+0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)-3.4
-0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 +1.1
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 +0.9
+0.1
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 +0.8
+0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 +0.8
+0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)-0.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons+6.5+3.0-6.0-6.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates-25.8-8.8+19.7+23.9
-0.6-0.3+0.3+0.6
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans+23.5+21.1-8.3-25.9
+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.6
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms+10.2-6.0-7.8-7.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins-7.7-7.6-5.9+10.2
-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons+6.5+3.2-6.1-6.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons+6.5+3.1-5.9-6.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage-5.1-4.8-3.4+6.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins-5.0-4.9-3.2+6.5
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs+0.9-0.6-0.7-0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
9420-094.9%No72638245376,497
9310-164.2No2174536116,467
9211-036.6No053163637,343
00-211.8No12888,940
9101-17.4No79398,514
9002-0OutNo7525269,739
Total:44.7%No2713235141,507,500
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 +1.0
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 +1.0
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 -0.2
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 +0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)+0.2
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 -0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 -0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)+0.1
Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 +0.1
San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 -0.1
Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 +0.1
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates+1.0+0.4-0.7-1.0
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans-0.9-0.9+0.4+1.0
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage-0.0+0.2+0.2-0.1
San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1
St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies-0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9420-01102836195
9310-1217452780
9211-0053137233
00-21244378
9101-17124734
9002-05344812
Total:03712222120122