How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 -31.9
-1.1
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 -8.4
-0.5
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 -5.0
-0.1
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 +3.8
+0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)-2.5
-0.2
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 +0.6
+0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 +0.5
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 +0.5
+0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 +0.5
+0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)-0.4
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons+9.3+5.3-8.4-8.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates-25.5-4.7+20.8+24.5
-0.6-0.2+0.3+0.6
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans+21.1+20.1-7.3-27.0
+0.5+0.4-0.2-0.6
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins-5.5-5.6-3.6+14.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.3
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons+7.3+3.6-8.6-8.6
+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons+6.8+3.0-8.5-8.8
+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms+7.1-5.2-6.2-6.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins-3.2-3.2-1.6+5.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage-3.2-2.8-2.0+4.4
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs+1.2-1.2-0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
9420-093.6%No524392661,061,595
9310-162.6No1154737317,829
9211-031.5No0428691,746,386
00-214.8No158523,675
9101-19.8No1090259,778
9002-0OutNo7723711,137
Total:43.0%No1613235344,120,400
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 +1.6
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 +0.8
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 -0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)+0.2
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 +0.2
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 -0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 -0.1
Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 +0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)+0.1
San Antonio Rampage 3 Syracuse Crunch 6 -0.1
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 -0.0
Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons-0.1-0.0+0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates+1.0+0.3-0.7-1.0
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans-0.9-0.8+0.4+1.1
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.3
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.2
San Antonio Rampage vs Texas Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Chicago Wolves vs Hartford Wolf Pack+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.2
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Milwaukee Admirals vs Chicago Wolves-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.1
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage-0.0+0.2+0.2-0.0
St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9420-0182636226
9310-1115472791
9211-0042837275
00-21539378
9101-11083843
9002-04285414
Total:02712222119142