"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 -5.0
-0.5
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)+3.6
+0.4
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 -3.1
-0.1
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 +2.1
+0.2
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 +1.4
+0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)-0.9
-0.2
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 +0.4
+0.1
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 +0.2
+0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 +0.2
+0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons+1.7+1.2-1.5-1.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland PiratesInInIn-4.1
+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.7
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs-3.5InInIn
-0.7+0.4+0.5+0.5
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans-2.5-2.5InIn
-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons+1.4+0.9-1.8-1.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons+1.5+1.0-1.8-1.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins-0.6-0.6+1.0+1.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins-0.7-0.8+0.6+1.0
-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage-0.8-0.7+0.6+0.8
-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.2
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms+0.5+0.4-0.6-0.6
+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester Monarchs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
96-97InNo1001,321,196*
9511-0InNo45421211,748,203
00-2InNo454212124,940
9401-1InNo3346192274,373
9302-084.6%No110344015751,688
Total:97.2%No542312834,120,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 +0.9
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)-0.6
Portland Pirates 2 Worcester Sharks 4 -0.2
Milwaukee Admirals 5 Adirondack Phantoms 4 -0.2
Albany Devils 2 Adirondack Phantoms 3 (ot)+0.2
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 -0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 -0.1
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 +0.1
Toronto Marlies 7 Providence Bruins 1 +0.1
Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 +0.1
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 -0.1
Lake Erie Monsters 15 Worcester Sharks 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Chicago Wolves vs Springfield Falcons-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester Monarchs vs Portland Pirates-0.7-0.7-0.3+1.0
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs+0.9-0.3-0.8-0.8
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2
Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs San Antonio Rampage+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.1
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
Adirondack Phantoms vs Grand Rapids Griffins+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
Iowa Wild vs Springfield Falcons-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Bridgeport Sound Tigers vs Springfield Falcons-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9720-0100
9610-17525
9511-030432240
00-230432240
9401-183639152
9302-002133535141
Total:4423149730