How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 In
+0.5
Lake Erie Monsters 15 Worcester Sharks 2 In
+0.2
St. John's Ice Caps 3 Utica Comets 4 (ot)-0.6
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Worcester Sharks vs Utica Comets+1.3+1.0-0.3-0.3
Providence Bruins vs Lake Erie Monsters-0.8+0.2+0.6+0.6
Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies+0.6+0.6+0.1-0.8
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs-0.6-0.6+0.4+0.7
Hartford Wolf Pack vs Rockford IceHogs+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.0
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Lake Erie Monsters finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
10220-0InNo57322191,064,598
10110-1InNo490645317,991
10011-0InNo87851,745,436
00-2InNo89223,458
9901-1InNo694257,972
9802-0InNo100710,945
Total:InNo2219684,120,400
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 -0.4
Lake Erie Monsters 15 Worcester Sharks 2 -0.2
St. John's Ice Caps 3 Utica Comets 4 (ot)+0.1
Utica Comets 3 Portland Pirates 1 +0.1
Norfolk Admirals 1 Binghamton Senators 2 -0.1
Toronto Marlies 6 Manchester Monarchs 1 -0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)+0.0
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 +0.0
Abbotsford Heat 2 Norfolk Admirals 1 -0.0
Bridgeport Sound Tigers 9 Hartford Wolf Pack 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence Bruins vs Lake Erie Monsters+0.5+0.2-0.4-0.5
Lake Erie Monsters vs Toronto Marlies-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.5
Hartford Wolf Pack vs Rockford IceHogs-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rockford IceHogs vs Adirondack Phantoms+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2
Worcester Sharks vs Utica Comets-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1
Utica Comets vs Manchester Monarchs+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Providence Bruins vs Rochester Americans+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Syracuse Crunch vs Abbotsford Heat-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10220-0221392711
10110-101114939
10011-041285
00-2892
9901-1694
9802-0100
Total:15121665