"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield Falcons 4 Rockford IceHogs 2 -0.0
Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 Out
-0.3
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 +0.1
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins 1 Charlotte Checkers 3 +0.2
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins 2 Syracuse Crunch 4 +0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 3 Utica Comets 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Oklahoma City Barons vs Hershey Bears-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Abbotsford Heat vs Hershey Bears-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2
Binghamton Senators vs Hershey Bears-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins vs Oklahoma City Barons-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Hamilton Bulldogs vs St. John's Ice Caps+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Hershey Bears finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
8830-0OutNo6733188,724
8720-1OutNo257587,604
8621-0OutNo1882477,981
10-2OutNo752513,280
8511-1OutNo7525147,626
00-3OutNo6832638
8412-0OutNo6733403,983
01-2OutNo267411,427
8302-1OutNo247662,550
8203-0OutNo1882113,687
Total:OutNo1663211,507,500
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Hershey Bears 3 San Antonio Rampage 7 +0.7
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins 1 Charlotte Checkers 3 -0.2
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins 2 Syracuse Crunch 4 -0.1
Rochester Americans 4 Hamilton Bulldogs 3 (ot)+0.1
Hamilton Bulldogs 3 Lake Erie Monsters 7 -0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 1 Providence Bruins 2 -0.1
St. John's Ice Caps 3 Utica Comets 4 (ot)-0.1
Grand Rapids Griffins 0 Chicago Wolves 1 +0.1
Manchester Monarchs 3 Rochester Americans 2 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Oklahoma City Barons vs Hershey Bears+0.6+0.4-0.5-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton Senators vs Hershey Bears+0.6+0.4-0.5-0.5
Abbotsford Heat vs Hershey Bears+0.6+0.4-0.5-0.5
Providence Bruins vs Rochester Americans-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
Portland Pirates vs Rochester Americans-0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2
Norfolk Admirals vs Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins vs Oklahoma City Barons+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1
Hamilton Bulldogs vs Worcester Sharks+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
St. John's Ice Caps vs Toronto Marlies+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Hamilton Bulldogs vs St. John's Ice Caps-0.0+0.2+0.2-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8830-0341534
8720-1375013
8621-0245521
10-2949367
8511-1186319
00-3165925
8412-0126127
01-243462
8302-12476
8203-01882
Total:0516263319