How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 5/13 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Div 1 100.0* Div 3 100.0* Average seed TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 -3.4 -5.8 +6.1 -0.7 ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 -0.1 -0.1 LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 *-0.1 *+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Victo vs TroisRivieres -2.5-0.9+2.9 -4.6-1.5+5.4 +7.4+1.1-7.9 -0.7-0.2+0.8 BSP vs Charlesbourg -0.2+0.2+0.0 -0.2+0.3*+0.0 -0.1-0.2+0.2 LevisEst vs Royal Beauport -0.1+0.2*+0.0 -0.2+0.3*+0.0 -0.1-0.2+0.2 CRSA vs Phenix *+0.0+0.2-0.1 *+0.0+0.3-0.2 +0.2-0.3-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 5/20 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Div 1 100.0* Div 3 100.0* Average seed TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport +3.0-0.9-2.5 +5.5-1.5-4.7 -7.7+1.2+7.1 +0.8-0.2-0.7 LevisEst vs BSP *-0.0+0.2-0.1 *-0.1+0.4-0.1 *-0.0-0.2+0.1 Charlesbourg vs CRSA -0.1+0.2*+0.0 -0.2+0.3*+0.0 -0.2-0.2+0.3 ChauOuest vs HSC *+0.0+0.2-0.1 *+0.0+0.3-0.2 +0.2-0.3-0.1 Victo vs Charlesbourg -0.1+0.2*-0.0 -0.1+0.3*-0.0 Phenix vs Victo -0.0+0.2*-0.0 -0.1+0.3-0.1 HSC vs Royal Beauport -0.1+0.3*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the TroisRivieres finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Div 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Div 3 Count 49 -57 Yes Yes 100 No 1,798 * 48 15 - 3 - 1 99.8 % Yes 100 0 No 458 * 47 15 - 2 - 2 Yes Yes 100 No 978 * 46 15 - 1 - 3 99.4 Yes 99 1 No 1,868 * 45 14 - 3 - 2 99.3 Yes 99 1 No 3,060 * 44 14 - 2 - 3 98.1 100.0 % 98 2 0 No 5,338 * 43 14 - 1 - 4 96.7 100.0 97 3 0 No 8,659 * 42 13 - 3 - 3 94.3 99.9 94 6 0 No 13,389 * 41 13 - 2 - 4 90.2 99.8 90 10 0 No 21,722 * 40 12 - 4 - 3 84.5 99.5 85 15 0 0 No 30,945 * 39 12 - 3 - 4 77.1 98.7 77 22 1 0 No 44,527 * 38 12 - 2 - 5 66.4 96.6 66 30 3 0 No 63,534 * 37 11 - 4 - 4 53.9 92.7 54 39 7 0 0 No 84,835 * 36 11 - 3 - 5 39.9 85.4 40 45 13 1 0 No 111,052 * 35 11 - 2 - 6 25.8 73.0 26 47 23 4 0 0 No 144,316 * 34 10 - 4 - 5 14.1 55.7 14 42 34 10 1 0 0 No 177,147 * 33 10 - 3 - 6 6.0 36.0 6 30 41 19 3 0 0 No 215,487 * 32 10 - 2 - 7 1.3 14.9 1 14 37 35 12 2 0 0 No 132,153 9 - 5 - 5 2.4 21.5 2 19 40 29 8 1 0 0 No 123,175 * 31 9 - 4 - 6 0.3 6.4 0 6 26 39 22 5 0 0 No 290,034 * 30 9 - 3 - 7 0.0 1.4 0 1 12 34 36 15 2 0 0 No 324,671 * 29 8 - 5 - 6 0.0 0.2 0 0 4 21 39 28 7 1 0 No 173,838 9 - 2 - 8 No 0.1 0 2 16 37 32 11 1 0 No 180,559 * 28 8 - 4 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 6 26 39 23 5 0 0 0.0 % 247,690 9 - 1 - 9 No 0.0 0 1 6 24 38 24 6 0 0 0.0 124,737 * 27 8 - 3 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 1 10 32 37 17 3 0 0 0.1 383,464 * 26 7 - 5 - 7 No No 0 0 3 18 38 31 9 1 0 0.8 197,808 8 - 2 - 9 No No 0 0 2 14 35 35 12 1 0 1.4 187,012 * 25 7 - 4 - 8 No No 0 0 5 24 40 25 5 0 5.5 246,793 8 - 1 - 10 No No 0 0 6 23 39 25 6 0 6.0 125,949 * 24 7 - 3 - 9 No No 0 1 9 32 39 17 2 18.7 239,731 * 6 - 6 - 7 No No 0 0 2 13 35 36 13 1 13.8 115,307 23 6 - 5 - 8 No No 0 0 4 21 42 28 5 33.1 173,331 7 - 2 - 10 No No 0 0 3 18 41 31 7 37.8 153,713 * 22 6 - 4 - 9 No No 0 1 9 34 42 14 55.7 292,824 * 21 6 - 3 - 10 No No 0 0 3 23 47 26 73.8 254,048 * 20 5 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 1 13 45 41 86.2 215,215 * 19 5 - 4 - 10 No No 0 0 6 38 56 93.6 175,569 * 18 5 - 3 - 11 No No 0 3 28 69 97.3 139,575 * 17 4 - 5 - 10 No No 0 1 19 80 99.0 107,012 * 16 4 - 4 - 11 No No 0 0 13 87 99.6 80,238 * 15 4 - 3 - 12 No No 0 8 92 99.9 57,327 * 14 3 - 5 - 11 No No 0 4 96 100.0 39,820 * 13 3 - 4 - 12 No No 2 98 Yes 26,354 * 12 3 - 3 - 13 No No 1 99 Yes 16,880 * 11 2 - 5 - 12 No No 0 100 Yes 10,465 * 10 2 - 4 - 13 No No 0 100 Yes 6,085 * 9 2 - 3 - 14 No No 0 100 Yes 3,471 * 8 2 - 2 - 15 No No 0 100 Yes 1,938 * 0 -7 No No 100 Yes 2,833 * Total: 5.7 % 12.4 % 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 13 24.0 % 5,778,732

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship