Phenix Title Chances 2018Summer 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.06 to 8.9%
0 points 0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | *-0.1 | *-0.1 | ||||||
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | *-0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | -3.3-1.1+3.9 | -5.7-1.7+6.5 | +6.3+0.8-6.6 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | ||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.2+0.5*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | -0.3+0.4*+0.0 | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.2+0.2*+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phenix vs Victo | +4.0-1.1-3.4 | +6.7-1.7-5.8 | -6.5+0.8+6.1 | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | +0.1+0.4-0.3 | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | |||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.2+0.4*+0.0 | -0.1-0.3+0.2 | |||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | ||||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Phenix finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 49 | -60 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 3,230 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,646 | * | ||||||||||||
| 47 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,948 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 4,727 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.3 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 7,790 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.9 | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 12,694 | * | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 96.5 | 100.0 | % | 96 | 3 | 0 | No | 18,574 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 94.2 | 100.0 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 27,402 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 90.2 | 99.8 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 40,313 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 84.5 | 99.5 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 55,179 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 76.8 | 98.6 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 75,138 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 66.0 | 96.5 | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | No | 99,317 | * | |||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 53.6 | 92.5 | 54 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 127,171 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 39.3 | 84.7 | 39 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 159,306 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 25.1 | 72.1 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 195,642 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 13.7 | 54.9 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 230,650 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 5.8 | 35.2 | 6 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 266,814 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 2.1 | 19.6 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 153,651 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 1.4 | 15.2 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 147,446 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 329,069 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 220,328 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 134,798 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 198,928 | |||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 171,740 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 247,216 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 7 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 127,584 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 219,939 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 152,298 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 197,434 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1.6 | 161,290 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6.1 | 337,951 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 19.8 | 176,336 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 15.1 | 132,414 | * | ||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 36.5 | 276,202 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 56.9 | 236,474 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 27 | 74.5 | 200,785 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 86.7 | 164,345 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 93.8 | 130,308 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 97.4 | 100,849 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 99.0 | 75,062 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 87 | 99.7 | 53,604 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.9 | 37,956 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 25,417 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 16,235 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 10,192 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,970 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,427 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,881 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 994 | * | |||||||||||||
| 0 | -7 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,068 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 8.9 | % | 17.9 | % | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 18.4 | % | 5,778,732 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
