LacBeauport Title Chances 2018Summer 50/50
Beat CRSA 2-0, title odds up 3.8 to 12.8%
3 points 1-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | +4.0 | +6.7 | -6.5 | +0.8 | ||||
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.3+0.4*+0.1 | -0.3+0.5*+0.1 | *-0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.2+0.4+0.1 | -0.3+0.5*+0.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | -0.3+0.5*+0.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | *+0.0+0.4-0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | -4.4-1.4+5.1 | -7.0-2.0+7.9 | +4.8+0.4-5.1 | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | ||||
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -0.2+0.4*+0.0 | -0.3+0.5*-0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | *+0.1+0.3-0.2 | *+0.0+0.4-0.2 | +0.1-0.2*-0.1 | |||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.2+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
| Phenix vs Victo | *-0.0+0.3-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LacBeauport finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 51 | -60 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,205 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 977 | * | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,791 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,942 | * | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 5,457 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 8,823 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.0 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 13,303 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.9 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 21,275 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 96.5 | 100.0 | 96 | 3 | 0 | No | 31,158 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 94.0 | 99.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 44,488 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 89.8 | 99.8 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 63,435 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 84.0 | 99.4 | 84 | 15 | 1 | No | 84,660 | * | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 76.1 | 98.5 | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 111,330 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 65.3 | 96.4 | 65 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 145,066 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 52.8 | 92.1 | 53 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 177,470 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 38.4 | 84.2 | 38 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 215,828 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 24.6 | 71.3 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 255,452 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 13.2 | 53.7 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 290,058 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 5.5 | 34.1 | 5 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 323,802 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 2.0 | 19.5 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 189,697 | * | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 1.0 | 13.1 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 163,966 | |||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 372,066 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 247,679 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 136,210 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 219,895 | * | ||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 165,380 | ||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 246,868 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 125,829 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 219,951 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 134,804 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 194,790 | * | ||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 133,006 | * | ||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.6 | 291,172 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 19.0 | 254,065 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 32 | 6 | 38.0 | 215,511 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 58.5 | 175,769 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 28 | 75.5 | 139,329 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 43 | 87.5 | 108,216 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 37 | 58 | 94.3 | 80,106 | * | |||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 70 | 97.6 | 57,321 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 99.1 | 39,729 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 99.7 | 26,573 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.9 | 16,953 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 10,349 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 5,986 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,351 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,788 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 883 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 410 | * | |||||||||||||
| 3 | -8 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,560 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.8 | % | 24.4 | % | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12.0 | % | 5,778,732 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
