"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
ChauOuest Title Chances 2018Summer 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.06 to 5.7%
0 points 0-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -3.5 | -5.9 | +6.1 | -0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | *-0.1 | -0.1 | *+0.1 | |||||
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | *+0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.2+0.4+0.1 | *-0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.1 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | *+0.0+0.3-0.1 | +0.1-0.2*-0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ChauOuest vs HSC | +2.9-0.8-2.5 | +5.4-1.5-4.6 | -7.8+1.0+7.3 | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.1+0.3-0.3 | +0.4-0.3-0.3 | |||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | ||||||
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | -0.1+0.3*-0.1 | ||||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Phenix vs Victo | -0.0+0.2*-0.0 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the ChauOuest finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 49 | -57 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 1,739 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 493 | * | ||||||||||||
| 47 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,002 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.6 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,801 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.8 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 2,932 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.1 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,330 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 96.3 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,779 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 93.9 | 99.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 13,665 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 90.7 | 99.8 | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 21,606 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 84.9 | 99.5 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 31,018 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 77.2 | 98.7 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 0 | No | 44,488 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 66.5 | 96.7 | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | No | 63,292 | * | |||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 53.9 | 92.7 | 54 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 84,810 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 40.2 | 85.6 | 40 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 112,215 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 26.1 | 73.0 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 143,553 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 14.4 | 56.1 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 177,169 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 6.1 | 36.4 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 215,083 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 1.3 | 15.0 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 131,649 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 2.4 | 21.6 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,417 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 290,340 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 324,923 | * | ||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 173,527 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 180,609 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 372,350 | * | |||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 247,243 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 136,346 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 197,661 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 187,586 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5.4 | 248,083 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 125,430 | * | ||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 18.4 | 220,054 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 14.0 | 134,678 | * | |||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 32.9 | 173,069 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 37.6 | 154,265 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 55.5 | 290,942 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 48 | 26 | 73.5 | 254,812 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 41 | 86.1 | 215,628 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 55 | 93.5 | 174,992 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 69 | 97.3 | 139,966 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 99.0 | 107,800 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 13 | 87 | 99.7 | 79,524 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.9 | 57,208 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 39,866 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 26,409 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 16,881 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 10,531 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,943 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,337 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,817 | * | |||||||||||||
| 0 | -7 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,871 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.7 | % | 12.5 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 24.0 | % | 5,778,732 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
