CRSA Title Chances 2018Summer 50/50
Lost to LacBeauport 0-2, title odds down 3.3 to 5.7%
0 points 0-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | -3.5 | -5.8 | +6.1 | -0.7 | ||||
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | *-0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | +2.9-0.9-2.5 | +5.4-1.5-4.6 | -7.8+1.1+7.3 | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | ||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | -0.2+0.4*-0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -2.5-0.9+2.9 | -4.6-1.5+5.4 | +7.4+1.1-7.9 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | |||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | *-0.0+0.3-0.1 | +0.3-0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | ||||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | *-0.1+0.4-0.1 | ||||||
| Phenix vs Victo | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | -0.1+0.3*-0.0 | +0.1-0.3*+0.0 | |||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | -0.1+0.3*-0.1 | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CRSA finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 48 | -57 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,215 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 963 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,725 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.1 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 2,932 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.2 | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 5,485 | * | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 96.8 | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 8,788 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 94.4 | 100.0 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 13,255 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 90.2 | 99.8 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 21,511 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 84.7 | 99.5 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,032 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 77.2 | 98.7 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 45,064 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 66.6 | 96.8 | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 63,385 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 53.7 | 92.4 | 54 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 84,324 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 40.1 | 85.4 | 40 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,683 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 25.8 | 72.8 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 144,725 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 14.1 | 55.8 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 177,875 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 6.2 | 36.1 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 214,900 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 1.3 | 14.8 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,855 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 2.4 | 21.8 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,214 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 290,629 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 220,055 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 105,038 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 173,803 | * | ||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 180,855 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 247,268 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 123,860 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 268,024 | * | |||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 115,208 | ||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 198,256 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 186,464 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5.5 | 247,532 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5.9 | 125,811 | * | ||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 18.9 | 220,277 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 14.2 | 135,228 | * | ||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 33.2 | 172,579 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 37.9 | 154,686 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 55.8 | 291,660 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 26 | 73.6 | 253,840 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 41 | 86.2 | 214,465 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | 93.5 | 176,228 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 97.3 | 140,535 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 99.0 | 107,873 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 99.7 | 79,704 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.9 | 57,505 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 39,164 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 26,057 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 16,828 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 10,384 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,881 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,509 | * | |||||||||||||
| 0 | -8 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 4,595 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.7 | % | 12.4 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 24.0 | % | 5,778,732 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
