Montreal Playoff Chances 23

Lost to Buffalo 2-3, playoff odds down 10.2 to 52%

2 points 1 2-0 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

74	-96								In		100													525	*
72		35	12		-	0	0		In		99	1	1											492
70		34	13		-	0	0		In		97	2	2	0										1,519
68		33	14		-	0	0		In		92	5	3	0										3,995
66		32	15		-	0	0		In		84	9	7	0										9,241
64		31	16		-	0	0		In		70	15	14	1	0									20,318
62		30	17		-	0	0		In		51	22	24	3	0									39,310
60		29	18		-	0	0		In		30	27	33	9	1	0	0							70,589
58		28	19		-	0	0		In		13	25	37	20	5	0	0	0						116,164
56		27	20		-	0	0		100.0	%	4	18	28	31	15	4	1	0	0					172,862
54		26	21		-	0	0		99.9		1	8	13	30	28	15	4	1	0	0				237,553
52		25	22		-	0	0		98.8		0	3	3	15	28	28	16	6	1	0	0	0		300,351
50		24	23		-	0	0		90.4		0	1	0	3	13	25	28	19	8	2	0	0		348,083
48		23	24		-	0	0		64.4			0	0	0	3	10	22	29	23	10	2	0	0	370,679
46		22	25		-	0	0		29.2			0		0	0	2	8	20	30	26	12	3	0	363,179
44		21	26		-	0	0		7.7					0	0	0	1	6	19	31	28	12	2	325,771
42		20	27		-	0	0		1.1							0	0	1	6	21	35	29	9	269,537
40		19	28		-	0	0		0.1								0	0	1	8	27	41	23	203,305
38		18	29		-	0	0		0.0									0	0	2	13	41	43	140,701
36		17	30		-	0	0		Out										0	0	5	31	63	89,525
34		16	31		-	0	0		Out											0	1	19	79	52,219
32		15	32		-	0	0		Out											0	0	10	90	27,218
30		14	33		-	0	0		Out											0	0	5	95	13,313
28		13	34		-	0	0		Out												0	2	98	5,787
26		12	35		-	0	0		Out													1	99	2,184
24		11	36		-	0	0		Out													1	99	770
2	-22								Out														100	618	*

Total:									52.0	%	3	4	5	7	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	10	9	3,185,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

76	-96								100
74		36	11		-	0	0		99	1
72		35	12		-	0	0		98	2
70		34	13		-	0	0		94	6	0
68		33	14		-	0	0		87	12	1	0
66		32	15		-	0	0		73	24	3	0
64		31	16		-	0	0		51	37	10	1	0	0
62		30	17		-	0	0		26	41	25	7	1	0	0
60		29	18		-	0	0		8	26	34	22	8	2	0	0
58		28	19		-	0	0		1	7	20	30	25	12	4	1	0	0	0
56		27	20		-	0	0		0	0	3	11	22	27	21	10	3	1	0	0					0
54		26	21		-	0	0			0	0	1	3	10	20	26	22	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
52		25	22		-	0	0					0	0	0	1	6	14	24	25	18	8	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
50		24	23		-	0	0								0	0	0	2	8	18	26	22	11	3	8	2	0	0
48		23	24		-	0	0										0	0	0	1	5	15	24	20	17	13	5	1	0	0	0
46		22	25		-	0	0												0	0	0	2	8	19	6	16	22	17	8	2	0	0	0
44		21	26		-	0	0													0	0	0	1	6	0	3	10	21	27	20	9	2	0	0
42		20	27		-	0	0															0	0	1	0	0	1	5	15	26	29	17	6	1
40		19	28		-	0	0																0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	24	34	23	6
38		18	29		-	0	0																	0				0	0	1	9	27	40	23
36		17	30		-	0	0																						0	0	2	12	39	47
34		16	31		-	0	0																							0	0	3	27	69
32		15	32		-	0	0																								0	1	14	85
30		14	33		-	0	0																								0	0	7	93
28		13	34		-	0	0																									0	3	97
26		12	35		-	0	0																										1	99
24		11	36		-	0	0																										1	99
2	-22																																	100

Total:									1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5