Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 9.2%

28 points 12 21-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg vs Colorado	+2.5+1.7+1.5-1.4-1.5-3.3		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

118		45	0		-	0	In		73	23	4										152
99		34	8		-	3	In			100											1
98		32	7		-	6	In						100								1
97		32	8		-	5	In							83	17						6	*
96		30	7		-	8	In						8	69	23						13	*
95		30	8		-	7	In						6	75	19						16	*
94		30	9		-	6	In						3	76	21						29	*
93		29	9		-	7	In						3	46	49	2					65	*
92		29	10		-	6	In						1	47	49	2					146	*
91		29	11		-	5	In						1	31	66	3					260	*
90		28	11		-	6	In						0	33	59	8					477	*
89		27	11		-	7	99.5	%					0	24	62	13	0				803	*
88		27	12		-	6	99.4							18	67	15	1				1,454	*
87		26	12		-	7	98.8						0	12	63	24	1	0			2,233	*
86		26	13		-	6	96.6						0	8	60	29	3	0			3,528	*
85		25	13		-	7	93.5							5	52	37	6	0			5,327	*
84		25	14		-	6	90.2							3	44	44	9	0			7,851	*
83		24	14		-	7	83.0							1	34	48	16	1	0		11,425	*
82		24	15		-	6	74.9							1	26	49	22	3	0		15,751	*
81		23	15		-	7	66.0							0	18	48	29	5	0		21,475	*
80		23	16		-	6	54.2							0	12	42	37	8	0		28,381	*
79		22	16		-	7	42.3							0	7	35	43	14	1	0	36,390	*
78		22	17		-	6	31.3							0	4	27	46	21	2	0	45,480	*
77		21	17		-	7	21.9							0	2	20	45	29	4	0	54,786	*
76		21	18		-	6	14.1							0	1	13	42	37	7	0	64,586	*
75		20	18		-	7	8.3							0	0	8	35	44	12	1	73,783	*
74		20	19		-	6	4.4								0	4	28	49	18	2	82,509	*
73		19	19		-	7	2.1								0	2	20	49	25	3	90,066	*
72		19	20		-	6	0.9								0	1	13	47	33	6	94,082	*
71		18	20		-	7	0.4								0	0	8	41	40	10	97,376	*
70		18	21		-	6	0.1								0	0	5	34	45	16	98,054	*
69		17	21		-	7	0.1									0	2	27	48	23	95,338	*
68		17	22		-	6	0.0									0	1	20	48	30	89,865	*
67		16	22		-	7	0.0									0	1	14	46	40	83,143	*
66		16	23		-	6	0.0									0	0	9	42	48	74,451	*
65		15	23		-	7	Out										0	6	37	57	64,729	*
64		15	24		-	6	Out										0	3	30	66	54,609	*
63		14	24		-	7	Out										0	2	25	73	44,863	*
62		14	25		-	6	Out										0	1	19	80	36,377	*
61		14	26		-	5	Out										0	1	14	86	28,216	*
60		13	26		-	6	Out											0	10	90	21,088	*
59		13	27		-	5	Out											0	7	93	15,498	*
58		12	27		-	6	Out											0	5	95	11,200	*
57		12	28		-	5	Out											0	3	97	7,674	*
56		11	28		-	6	Out												2	98	5,050	*
55		11	29		-	5	Out												1	99	3,280	*
54		10	29		-	6	Out												1	99	2,089	*
53		10	30		-	5	Out												1	99	1,333	*
52		9	30		-	6	Out												0	100	746	*
28	-51						Out													100	1,002	*

Total:							9.2	%	0	0	0		0	0	2	7	14	24	27	26	1,477,057

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Colorado	-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
New York vs Ottawa	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Long Island	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

118		45	0		-	0	32	41	23		4
99		34	8		-	3				100
98		32	7		-	6										100
97		32	8		-	5											83		17
96		30	7		-	8									8		54	15	23
95		30	8		-	7									6		56	19	13	6
94		30	9		-	6										3	55	21	21
93		29	9		-	7									2	2	26	20	46	3	2
92		29	10		-	6										1	23	25	46	3	2
91		29	11		-	5										1	10	20	55	11	3
90		28	11		-	6										0	6	27	40	18	8
89		27	11		-	7										0	3	21	37	25	12	0	0
88		27	12		-	6											1	17	35	32	13	1	1
87		26	12		-	7										0	0	11	26	37	21	3	1	0
86		26	13		-	6										0	0	8	18	42	24	5	3	0
85		25	13		-	7											0	4	10	41	27	10	6	0
84		25	14		-	6											0	3	6	38	27	17	9	1	0
83		24	14		-	7												1	3	31	25	23	15	2	0		0
82		24	15		-	6												1	1	25	19	29	20	5	0
81		23	15		-	7												0	0	18	14	34	25	8	1	0
80		23	16		-	6												0	0	12	9	33	29	14	3	0	0
79		22	16		-	7												0	0	7	5	31	29	22	6	1	0
78		22	17		-	6												0	0	4	2	25	26	29	11	2	0	0
77		21	17		-	7												0		2	1	19	20	33	19	5	1	0
76		21	18		-	6												0		1	0	13	14	33	27	11	2	0
75		20	18		-	7												0		0	0	8	8	28	33	18	4	0	0
74		20	19		-	6														0	0	4	4	20	34	26	9	1	0	0
73		19	19		-	7														0	0	2	2	12	31	33	16	4	0	0
72		19	20		-	6														0	0	1	1	7	23	35	25	8	1	0
71		18	20		-	7														0		0	0	3	15	33	32	14	3	0
70		18	21		-	6														0		0	0	1	8	26	36	22	6	0
69		17	21		-	7																0	0	0	4	18	35	30	11	1
68		17	22		-	6																0		0	2	11	30	36	18	3
67		16	22		-	7																0		0	1	6	23	39	26	5
66		16	23		-	6																0		0	0	3	16	37	35	10
65		15	23		-	7																		0	0	1	10	32	41	16
64		15	24		-	6																			0	0	5	25	46	24
63		14	24		-	7																				0	3	18	47	32
62		14	25		-	6																				0	1	12	44	43
61		14	26		-	5																				0	1	8	39	53
60		13	26		-	6																					0	4	33	62
59		13	27		-	5																					0	2	27	71
58		12	27		-	6																					0	1	22	77
57		12	28		-	5																						1	16	84
56		11	28		-	6																						0	12	87
55		11	29		-	5																						0	8	92
54		10	29		-	6																						0	6	94
53		10	30		-	5																							3	97
52		9	30		-	6																							2	98
51		9	31		-	5																							1	99
50		9	32		-	4																							1	99
49		8	32		-	5																							3	97
28	-48																													100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	5	9	11	14	15	15	14	9