San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

50 points 24 10-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver 5 Buffalo 1			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs Long Island	InInInInIn-0.1		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

130	-142						In		100												972	*
129		38	5		-	3	In		99	1											858	*
128		37	5		-	4	In		99	1											1,479	*
127		37	6		-	3	In		98	2											2,670	*
126		36	6		-	4	In		97	3											4,339	*
125		36	7		-	3	In		94	6											6,916	*
124		35	7		-	4	In		91	9											10,967	*
123		35	8		-	3	In		87	13	0										15,763	*
122		34	8		-	4	In		82	18	0										22,092	*
121		34	9		-	3	In		75	25	0										29,986	*
120		33	9		-	4	In		67	32	0	0									38,681	*
119		33	10		-	3	In		59	41	0	0									49,312	*
118		32	10		-	4	In		50	50	1	0									59,277	*
117		32	11		-	3	In		39	60	1	0									70,456	*
116		31	11		-	4	In		30	68	1	0	0								80,537	*
115		31	12		-	3	In		23	75	2	1	0								89,083	*
114		30	12		-	4	In		15	81	3	1	0								96,363	*
113		30	13		-	3	In		10	84	3	2	0								100,070	*
112		29	13		-	4	In		6	86	4	4	0								41,495
		28	12		-	6	In		6	86	4	4	0								59,556	*
111		29	14		-	3	In		3	85	5	6	1	0							99,568	*
110		28	14		-	4	In		2	82	5	9	2	0							94,400	*
109		28	15		-	3	In		1	78	5	13	4	0							87,685	*
108		27	15		-	4	In		0	72	4	17	7	0							79,859	*
107		26	15		-	5	In		0	65	3	20	11	0							69,550	*
106		26	16		-	4	In		0	58	2	22	17	0							59,412	*
105		25	16		-	5	In		0	50	2	24	24	1							49,443	*
104		25	17		-	4	In		0	42	1	23	32	2							40,129	*
103		24	17		-	5	In			35	1	21	41	3	0						31,897	*
102		24	18		-	4	In			27	0	19	49	5	0						24,359	*
101		23	18		-	5	In			21	0	16	55	9	0						18,188	*
100		23	19		-	4	In			16	0	12	60	13	0						13,337	*
99		22	19		-	5	In			11	0	9	61	19	0						9,558	*
98		22	20		-	4	In			7	0	7	60	26	0						6,674	*
97		21	20		-	5	In			4	0	4	57	33	1						4,380	*
96		21	21		-	4	In			3		3	52	40	2						2,909	*
95		20	21		-	5	In			2		2	46	47	3	0					1,864	*
94		20	22		-	4	In			1		0	38	55	6						1,133	*
93		19	22		-	5	In			0		0	28	64	7	0					694	*
92		19	23		-	4	In			0		0	23	65	11	0					422	*
91		18	23		-	5	In						19	63	16	2					249	*
90		18	24		-	4	In						13	63	23	1					137	*
89		17	24		-	5	In						6	59	33	2					100	*
88		18	26		-	2	In						8	42	44	6					48	*
87		16	25		-	5	In							55	32	14					22	*
86		16	26		-	4	In							71	29						7	*
85		16	27		-	3	In							33	50	17					6	*
84		15	27		-	4	In								50	50					2	*
82		14	28		-	4	In									100					1
50		0	46		-	0	Out													100	152

Total:							100.0	%	19	63	2	8	8	1	0	0				0	1,477,057

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 5 Buffalo 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs Long Island	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

132	-142						100
131		39	4		-	3	97	3
130		39	5		-	2	98	2
129		38	5		-	3	96	3	1
128		37	5		-	4	94	5	1
127		37	6		-	3	91	8	2
126		36	6		-	4	86	11	3
125		36	7		-	3	81	13	6
124		35	7		-	4	73	18	9
123		35	8		-	3	65	22	13	0	0
122		34	8		-	4	56	25	18	0	0
121		34	9		-	3	46	29	25	0	0
120		33	9		-	4	36	32	32	0	0		0
119		33	10		-	3	26	32	40	1	0		0
118		32	10		-	4	18	31	48	2	1		0
117		32	11		-	3	12	28	56	4	1	0	0
116		31	11		-	4	7	24	61	7	1	0	0		0
115		31	12		-	3	4	19	63	12	2	0	1		0
114		30	12		-	4	2	14	62	18	3	0	1		0
113		30	13		-	3	1	9	58	26	3	0	2		0
112		29	13		-	4	0	6	52	34	4	0	4		0
111		29	14		-	3	0	3	42	42	4	1	6	0	1		0
110		28	14		-	4	0	2	34	48	4	1	9	0	2		0
109		28	15		-	3	0	1	25	53	4	1	13	0	4		0
108		27	15		-	4		0	17	55	3	1	17	0	7	0	0
107		26	15		-	5		0	11	55	2	2	19	1	11	0	0
106		26	16		-	4		0	6	52	1	1	21	2	17	0	0
105		25	16		-	5		0	4	47	1	1	21	3	23	0	1
104		25	17		-	4		0	2	40	0	1	18	5	32	0	2
103		24	17		-	5			1	34	0	1	15	6	40	1	3	0	0
102		24	18		-	4			0	27	0	0	11	8	46	3	5	0	0
101		23	18		-	5			0	20	0	0	7	8	49	6	9	0	0
100		23	19		-	4			0	16		0	4	8	49	11	12	0	0
99		22	19		-	5			0	11		0	2	7	45	16	18	1	0
98		22	20		-	4			0	7		0	1	5	37	23	24	1	0
97		21	20		-	5				4		0	0	4	29	29	30	3	1
96		21	21		-	4				3			0	3	21	31	34	6	2
95		20	21		-	5				2			0	1	12	35	35	13	3	0	0
94		20	22		-	4				1				0	7	31	34	21	5	0
93		19	22		-	5				0				0	4	24	35	29	6	1	0
92		19	23		-	4				0				0	2	21	26	40	9	2	0
91		18	23		-	5									0	18	17	46	13	3	2
90		18	24		-	4										13	10	53	17	7	1
89		17	24		-	5										6	10	49	17	16	2
88		18	26		-	2										8	4	38	17	27	6
87		16	25		-	5												55	14	18	14
86		16	26		-	4												71		29
85		16	27		-	3												33		50	17
84		15	27		-	4														50		50
82		14	28		-	4															100
50		0	46		-	0																							1	99

Total:							8	11	35	28	2	0	7	1	7	1	1	0	0	0	0	0							0	0