Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2011-2012Lost to Long Island 2-4, playoff odds down 0.5 to 99.1% 45 points 22 14-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Pittsburgh 2 Long Island 4 | -0.4 | | -0.3 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Pittsburgh vs Montreal | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.6 | | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | | Detroit vs Philadelphie | +0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | -135 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 155 | * | 121 | | 37 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 17 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | * | 120 | | 36 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | * | 119 | | 35 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 70 | | 30 | | | | | | | | | | 20 | * | 118 | | 34 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 45 | 7 | 48 | | | | | | | | | | 44 | * | 117 | | 34 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 50 | 8 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | 84 | * | 116 | | 33 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 35 | 8 | 57 | | | | | | | | | | 136 | * | 115 | | 33 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 27 | 9 | 64 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 305 | * | 114 | | 32 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 20 | 5 | 74 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 567 | * | 113 | | 32 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 15 | 10 | 74 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 1,014 | * | 112 | | 31 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 9 | 9 | 79 | 3 | | | | | | | | | 1,615 | * | 111 | | 31 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 5 | 7 | 81 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,817 | * | 110 | | 30 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 3 | 6 | 82 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,319 | * | 109 | | 30 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 2 | 4 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 6,586 | * | 108 | | 29 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 1 | 3 | 75 | 21 | 1 | | | | | | | | 9,543 | * | 107 | | 28 | 11 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 3 | 67 | 29 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 13,896 | * | 106 | | 28 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 2 | 59 | 36 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 19,228 | * | 105 | | 27 | 12 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 1 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 25,657 | * | 104 | | 27 | 13 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 1 | 40 | 50 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 33,317 | * | 103 | | 26 | 13 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 0 | 30 | 54 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | 42,402 | * | 102 | | 26 | 14 | - | 5 | In | | 0 | 22 | 55 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 51,821 | * | 101 | | 25 | 14 | - | 6 | In | | 0 | 15 | 54 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 61,149 | * | 100 | | 25 | 15 | - | 5 | In | | 0 | 10 | 49 | 36 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 71,237 | * | 99 | | 24 | 15 | - | 6 | In | | 0 | 6 | 42 | 43 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | 80,477 | * | 98 | | 24 | 16 | - | 5 | In | | 0 | 3 | 35 | 48 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | 87,665 | * | 97 | | 23 | 16 | - | 6 | In | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 51 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 94,175 | * | 96 | | 23 | 17 | - | 5 | In | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 96,214 | * | 95 | | 22 | 17 | - | 6 | In | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 97,450 | * | 94 | | 22 | 18 | - | 5 | In | | | 0 | 8 | 42 | 43 | 7 | 0 | | | | | 95,609 | * | 93 | | 21 | 18 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | | | 0 | 5 | 35 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 91,544 | * | 92 | | 21 | 19 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | 84,664 | * | 91 | | 20 | 19 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 53 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | 76,698 | * | 90 | | 20 | 20 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 32 | 5 | 0 | | | | 67,831 | * | 89 | | 19 | 20 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | | | | 0 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 8 | 0 | | | | 58,111 | * | 88 | | 19 | 21 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 37 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | 47,701 | * | 87 | | 18 | 21 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 48 | 19 | 1 | | | | 39,778 | * | 86 | | 18 | 22 | - | 5 | 98.3 | | | | | | 1 | 22 | 49 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | 31,254 | * | 85 | | 17 | 22 | - | 6 | 96.6 | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 46 | 35 | 3 | 0 | | | 23,774 | * | 84 | | 17 | 23 | - | 5 | 93.6 | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 41 | 43 | 6 | 0 | | | 17,683 | * | 83 | | 16 | 23 | - | 6 | 89.4 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 34 | 50 | 10 | 1 | | | 13,104 | * | 82 | | 16 | 24 | - | 5 | 82.2 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 53 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | 9,339 | * | 81 | | 15 | 24 | - | 6 | 74.2 | | | | | | | 2 | 19 | 54 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | 6,379 | * | 80 | | 15 | 25 | - | 5 | 64.8 | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 51 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | 4,284 | * | 79 | | 15 | 26 | - | 4 | 52.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 9 | 0 | | 2,800 | * | 78 | | 14 | 26 | - | 5 | 42.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 39 | 42 | 15 | 0 | | 1,801 | * | 77 | | 14 | 27 | - | 4 | 31.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 29 | 47 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1,111 | * | 76 | | 13 | 27 | - | 5 | 22.7 | | | | | | | | 1 | 22 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 687 | * | 75 | | 13 | 28 | - | 4 | 14.2 | | | | | | | | | 14 | 46 | 34 | 6 | | 393 | * | 74 | | 12 | 28 | - | 5 | 8.9 | | | | | | | | | 9 | 38 | 41 | 12 | | 203 | * | 73 | | 12 | 29 | - | 4 | 6.0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | 28 | 49 | 16 | 1 | 117 | * | 72 | | 11 | 29 | - | 5 | 5.4 | | | | | | | | | 5 | 27 | 48 | 11 | 9 | 56 | * | 71 | | 11 | 30 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 14 | 51 | 30 | 5 | 43 | * | 70 | | 10 | 30 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 6 | 33 | 44 | 17 | 18 | * | 69 | | 10 | 31 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 8 | 33 | 50 | 8 | 12 | * | 68 | | 9 | 31 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 33 | 3 | * | 45 | -63 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 153 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,477,057 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pittsburgh 2 Long Island 4 | +0.5 | | Washington 3 Chicago 5 | -0.1 | | Ottawa 2 Toronto 6 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pittsburgh vs Montreal | -0.3-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6 | | Tampa Bay vs Washington | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Detroit vs Philadelphie | -0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | -135 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | | 37 | 6 | - | 2 | 17 | 17 | 17 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 34 | 4 | - | 7 | 63 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | | 35 | 6 | - | 4 | 40 | 30 | | | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 34 | 6 | - | 5 | 18 | 27 | 7 | | 39 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 34 | 7 | - | 4 | 27 | 23 | 8 | | 35 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 33 | 7 | - | 5 | 9 | 26 | 8 | | 48 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 33 | 8 | - | 4 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 32 | 8 | - | 5 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 24 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 32 | 9 | - | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 28 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 31 | 9 | - | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 41 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 31 | 10 | - | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 30 | 10 | - | 5 | | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 30 | 11 | - | 4 | | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 29 | 11 | - | 5 | | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 66 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 28 | 11 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 28 | 12 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 27 | 12 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 14 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 27 | 13 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 26 | 13 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 8 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 26 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 50 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 25 | 14 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 51 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 25 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 10 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 24 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 6 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 24 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 34 | 9 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 23 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 23 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 22 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 46 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 22 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 21 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 34 | 20 | 29 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 21 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 27 | 17 | 36 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 20 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | 40 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 90 | | 20 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 89 | | 19 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 88 | | 19 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 5 | 3 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 87 | | 18 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 2 | 28 | 29 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | 86 | | 18 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 85 | | 17 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 28 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 84 | | 17 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 83 | | 16 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 82 | | 16 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 81 | | 15 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 80 | | 15 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 79 | | 15 | 26 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 78 | | 14 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | | | | | 77 | | 14 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 2 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 76 | | 13 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 2 | | | | 75 | | 13 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 12 | 27 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 1 | | | 74 | | 12 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 4 | 28 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 1 | | | 73 | | 12 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 9 | 38 | 28 | 15 | 3 | | | 72 | | 11 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 7 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 5 | 2 | | 71 | | 11 | 30 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 28 | 30 | 21 | 16 | | | 70 | | 9 | 29 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 69 | | 10 | 31 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 8 | 42 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 68 | | 9 | 31 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 67 | | | 63 | | 7 | 34 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 45 | | 0 | 45 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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