Buffalo Dominators Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Vancouver 1-5, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

51 points 23 9-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

131	-141						In		100												236	*
130		38	4		-	3	In		99	1											117	*
129		38	5		-	2	In		99	0	0										213	*
128		37	5		-	3	In		98	2											418	*
127		36	5		-	4	In		96	4											766	*
126		36	6		-	3	In		92	8											1,449	*
125		35	6		-	4	In		89	11											2,458	*
124		35	7		-	3	In		86	14	0										4,078	*
123		34	7		-	4	In		78	22	0										6,448	*
122		34	8		-	3	In		74	26	0										9,872	*
121		33	8		-	4	In		67	33	0										14,484	*
120		33	9		-	3	In		60	40	0										20,316	*
119		32	9		-	4	In		52	47	1										27,793	*
118		32	10		-	3	In		44	54	1										36,273	*
117		31	10		-	4	In		37	61	2										45,912	*
116		31	11		-	3	In		30	67	3										56,646	*
115		30	11		-	4	In		23	72	5	0									67,145	*
114		30	12		-	3	In		18	75	7	0									77,379	*
113		29	12		-	4	In		13	77	10	0									86,227	*
112		28	12		-	5	In		9	77	14	0									93,606	*
111		28	13		-	4	In		6	75	19	0	0								98,485	*
110		27	13		-	5	In		4	72	23	1	0								100,992	*
109		27	14		-	4	In		2	68	29	1	0								99,952	*
108		26	14		-	5	In		1	61	34	3	0								95,893	*
107		26	15		-	4	In		1	55	39	5	0	0							89,747	*
106		25	15		-	5	In		0	48	44	8	0								81,387	*
105		25	16		-	4	In		0	41	46	12	1	0							72,402	*
104		24	16		-	5	In		0	34	47	18	1	0							62,790	*
103		24	17		-	4	In		0	26	46	25	3	0							52,585	*
102		23	17		-	5	In		0	21	42	32	5	0	0						43,013	*
101		23	18		-	4	In		0	15	36	39	9	1	0						34,334	*
100		22	18		-	5	In			11	30	43	14	1	0						26,750	*
99		22	19		-	4	In			8	23	46	21	3	0						20,308	*
98		21	19		-	5	In			5	16	45	28	5	0						14,723	*
97		21	20		-	4	In			3	11	41	35	10	0						10,496	*
96		20	20		-	5	In			1	7	34	41	15	1						7,346	*
95		20	21		-	4	In			1	4	27	43	22	3	0					5,012	*
94		19	21		-	5	In			1	2	19	41	31	6	0					3,293	*
93		19	22		-	4	In			0	1	13	38	38	9	1					2,162	*
92		18	22		-	5	In			0	0	7	32	46	14	1					1,389	*
91		18	23		-	4	In				0	5	25	44	23	3					831	*
90		17	23		-	5	In					2	20	45	29	5					488	*
89		17	24		-	4	99.7	%				0	9	34	45	11	0				308	*
88		16	24		-	5	In						4	29	49	17					162	*
87		15	24		-	6	98.9						1	25	52	21	1				91	*
86		15	25		-	5	97.3						1	12	51	33	3				73	*
85		15	26		-	4	92.0						4	4	32	52	8				25	*
84		14	26		-	5	94.1						6	6	29	53	6				17	*
83		15	28		-	2	88.9								11	78	11				9	*
82		13	27		-	5	60.0								40	20	20	20			5	*
80		13	29		-	3	In									100					1
51		0	45		-	0	Out												1	99	152

Total:							100.0	%	12	55	23	8	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1,477,057

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 5 Buffalo 1	+0.2
Ottawa 2 Toronto 6	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York vs Ottawa	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

131	-141						100
130		38	4		-	3	99		1
129		38	5		-	2	99	0	0		0
128		37	5		-	3	96	2	2
127		36	5		-	4	93	2	4
126		36	6		-	3	89	3	8
125		35	6		-	4	83	6	11
124		35	7		-	3	76	10	14		0
123		34	7		-	4	66	12	22	0	0
122		34	8		-	3	57	16	26	0	0
121		33	8		-	4	46	20	33	0	0
120		33	9		-	3	36	24	39	1	0	0
119		32	9		-	4	26	26	45	2	1	0
118		32	10		-	3	18	27	51	3	1	0
117		31	10		-	4	11	26	55	6	2	0
116		31	11		-	3	6	24	56	10	3	0
115		30	11		-	4	3	20	55	16	4	1	0
114		30	12		-	3	1	16	52	23	5	2	0
113		29	12		-	4	1	12	46	31	6	4	0	0
112		28	12		-	5	0	9	38	39	7	7	0	0
111		28	13		-	4	0	6	30	45	7	12	0	0	0
110		27	13		-	5	0	4	23	49	6	17	1	0	0
109		27	14		-	4	0	2	16	51	5	24	1	0	0
108		26	14		-	5		1	11	51	4	31	2	1	0
107		26	15		-	4		1	6	49	2	37	3	2	0	0	0
106		25	15		-	5		0	4	44	1	42	3	5	0	0
105		25	16		-	4		0	2	39	1	46	4	8	1	0	0
104		24	16		-	5		0	1	33	0	46	4	14	1	0	0
103		24	17		-	4		0	0	26	0	46	3	22	2	1	0
102		23	17		-	5		0	0	20	0	42	3	29	3	2	0	0	0
101		23	18		-	4		0	0	15	0	36	2	37	4	5	1	0	0
100		22	18		-	5			0	11	0	30	1	42	5	9	1	0	0
99		22	19		-	4			0	8		23	1	45	5	16	2	0	0
98		21	19		-	5				5		16	0	45	5	23	4	1	0
97		21	20		-	4				3		11	0	41	4	31	7	3	0
96		20	20		-	5				1		7	0	34	3	39	9	6	1	0
95		20	21		-	4				1		4	0	27	2	41	12	11	3	0	0
94		19	21		-	5				1		2		19	1	40	13	17	6	0	0
93		19	22		-	4				0		1		13	0	38	14	24	9	0	1
92		18	22		-	5				0		0		7	0	32	12	34	13	1	1
91		18	23		-	4						0		5	0	25	8	36	20	2	3
90		17	23		-	5								2		20	9	36	25	3	5
89		17	24		-	4								0		9	3	31	36	9	11	0	0
88		16	24		-	5										4	1	28	34	15	17
87		15	24		-	6										1	2	23	30	22	21		1
86		15	25		-	5										1		12	25	26	33		3
85		15	26		-	4										4		4	16	16	44	8	8
84		14	26		-	5										6		6	6	24	41	12	6
83		15	28		-	2													11		67	11	11
82		13	27		-	5														40		20	20	20
80		13	29		-	3															100
51		0	45		-	0																							1	99

Total:							4	8	24	31	3	20	1	6	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0	0