"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Riv 96.7 Tosti 83.2 Out
-0.9
Beckel 77 Sean 103.5 +0.8
Brian 91.6 Miller 55.1 +0.5
+0.1
Paulo 90.5 Mike 88.9 -0.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tosti vs Fat+1.1-1.1
Miller vs Paulo-0.2+0.2
Brian vs Mike+0.1-0.1
Riv vs James+0.1-0.1
Sean vs Chael-0.1+0.1
Beckel vs Coyle-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tosti finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
62-0Out16413292004,180,546
51-1Out123838128,354,544
40-2Out22784,178,046
Total:Out4108819252516,713,136
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs