How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 1 Toronto 5 +5.3
+0.5
Colorado 1 Philadelph 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Nashville+4.9-4.9
+0.5-0.5
Montreal vs Chicago-0.5+0.5
San Jose vs Ottawa+0.4-0.4
Washington vs Colorado-0.4+0.4
Boston vs Dallas-0.4+0.4
Anaheim vs NYRangers+0.4-0.4
Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh+0.4-0.4
Edmonton vs Philadelph+0.3-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
79-99In100160*
773611-00In991140
753512-00In1000409
733413-00In100001,127
713314-00In99102,615
693215-00In97215,822
673116-00In9433011,843
653017-00In8677021,561
632918-00In7214131036,440
612819-00In52212330054,898
592720-00In302733910077,380
572621-00100.0%122534226100099,555
552522-00100.031723311971000117,667
532423-0099.607823292092000127,910
512324-0094.80218192724134100127,424
492225-0073.30015152527177200117,269
472126-0036.40001311222822102099,913
452027-009.80002819302612278,003
431928-001.4000172034291054,950
411829-000.1001724412736,272
391730-000.000211384921,623
371631-00Out03267011,965
351532-00Out0115846,044
331433-00Out06932,692
311334-00Out3971,139
291235-00Out199409
5-27Out100282*
Total:72.5%12911109887766541,115,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 1 Toronto 5 -1.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Nashville-1.0+1.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
79-99100
773611-00991
753512-001000
733413-00991
713314-00982
693215-009550
673116-00871310
653017-007126300
632918-00473912200
612819-0021392810200
592720-005203227123100
572621-000313252819820000
552522-0000141223272093100000
532423-00000281826241561000000
512324-0000013919262211304100
492225-000014122223121682000
472126-0000141220101920114100
452027-00002814142425156100
431928-00000100161728271541
411829-0000003102533236
391730-0000028264024
371631-0001103751
351532-00032572
331433-0011188
311334-00595
291235-00298
5-27100
Total:66555554444444443333333322