How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 1 Toronto 5 +5.2
+0.5
Colorado 1 Philadelph 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Nashville+2.9-4.2
+0.4-0.5
Montreal vs Chicago-0.3+0.3
Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh+0.2-0.3
Edmonton vs Philadelph+0.2-0.3
San Jose vs Ottawa+0.2-0.3
Boston vs Dallas-0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo+0.2-0.3
Washington vs Colorado-0.2+0.3
Anaheim vs NYRangers+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
79-99In100923*
773611-00In10001,355
753512-00In10003,663
733413-00In99108,793
713314-00In982019,935
693215-00In9531039,619
673116-00In8974071,733
653017-00In7913800118,103
632918-00In63211510177,800
612819-00In4328254000245,466
592720-00In23313311200309,676
572621-00100.0%927332371000357,863
552522-00100.021721322071000381,968
532423-0099.707824302182000371,582
512324-0096.60219222923113000332,697
492225-0080.60017182826144100274,760
472126-0046.90001515262818610207,726
452027-0016.40000131226312061144,162
431928-003.1000311273420591,902
411829-000.30031332371553,304
391730-000.0000419433428,667
371631-00Out018365614,007
351532-00Out0225736,319
331433-00Out114852,544
311334-00Out793891
291235-00Out298283
271136-00Out19992
5-25Out100339*
Total:84.9%1713131110876543213,266,172

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 1 Toronto 5 -1.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Nashville-0.8+1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
79-99100
773611-001000
753512-001000
733413-009910
713314-009640
693215-0091900
673116-008018100
653017-0062326000
632918-00384217300
612819-00153532144000
592720-003152930176100
572621-0002921282312410000
552522-0000039202723124100000
532423-00000261625251772000000
512324-0000013919262312303000
492225-0000015142524121351000
472126-000016162411171572000
452027-00000131216162421113100
431928-000003002102229221020
411829-00000015162929153
391730-000000314313515
371631-00003174238
351532-000163261
331433-00012079
311334-0001090
291235-00496
271136-00199
5-25100
Total:108776655544444432222221111