How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 3 Montreal 2 +5.7
+0.5
Colorado 1 Philadelph 0 +0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo-4.9+4.9
-0.5+0.5
Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh+0.6-0.6
San Jose vs Ottawa+0.5-0.5
Edmonton vs Philadelph+0.4-0.4
Montreal vs Chicago-0.4+0.4
Washington vs Colorado-0.4+0.4
Boston vs Dallas-0.4+0.3
Anaheim vs NYRangers+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
74-98In100734*
723413-00In99101,168
703314-00In98112,780
683215-00In94325,875
663116-00In8776011,845
643017-00In7513121021,824
622918-00In5620212036,041
602819-00In342631810055,490
582720-00In14263519510077,101
562621-00100.0%419262916510099,808
542522-0099.8110112628176100118,340
522423-0096.803211232820930000127,993
502324-0080.51028192724145100127,676
482225-0045.50001514252718710117,067
462126-0014.200013112330239198,421
442027-002.50029233325777,868
421928-000.2002927402255,099
401829-000.000214404436,315
381730-00Out005306421,625
361631-00Out01178211,915
341532-00Out009915,997
321433-00Out04962,658
301334-00Out2981,146
281235-00Out0100448
4-26Out100278*
Total:65.1%87998888877761,115,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 3 Montreal 2 -1.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo+1.0-1.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
74-98100
723413-00982
703314-009640
683215-0089110
663116-007522200
643017-005436910
622918-00274124710
602819-0082634228200
582720-00161929261441000
562621-0000281927241351000
542522-000016152426188200000
522423-0000281726241451030000
502324-0000003919251861351000
482225-0000027162114201451000
462126-00001311292025199200
442027-0000200311222821920
421928-00000015152830163
401829-00000312303817
381730-0002144042
361631-000042967
341532-00011584
321433-000793
301334-00397
281235-00199
4-26100
Total:44444444444444444444444333