Swansea City Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Plays at Galatasaray SK, Plays at Liverpool, Plays at Southampton, playoff odds down 1.4 to 1.3%

24 points 7-3-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Swansea City finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		LGVFA		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Gold		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

48	8	-	0	-	0	92.1	%	Yes		5	46	40	8					986
46	7	-	1	-	0	71.9		Yes		0	18	54	28	0				3,658
45	7	-	0	-	1	49.6		Yes		0	6	44	49	1				7,012
44	6	-	2	-	0	39.2		Yes			3	36	58	2				6,614
43	6	-	1	-	1	18.4		Yes			0	18	74	7				26,137
42	6	-	0	-	2	6.5		Yes			0	6	76	18	0			24,807
	5	-	3	-	0	8.5		Yes			0	8	78	13	0			6,881
41	5	-	2	-	1	3.6		Yes			0	4	72	24	0			40,024
40	5	-	1	-	2	0.7		Yes				1	61	38	1			77,699
	4	-	4	-	0	0.6		Yes				1	66	33	0			4,370
39	5	-	0	-	3	Out		Yes					43	54	3	0		50,222
	4	-	3	-	1	Out		Yes					49	49	2	0		34,238
38	4	-	2	-	2	Out		Yes					34	60	6	0		100,000
	3	-	5	-	0	Out		Yes					42	54	4			1,897
37	4	-	1	-	3	Out		Yes					20	64	15	1	0	129,760
	3	-	4	-	1	Out		Yes					25	65	10	0		17,844
36	3	-	3	-	2	Out		Yes					11	62	25	2	0	68,999
	4	-	0	-	4	Out		Yes					8	58	31	3	0	63,138
	2	-	6	-	0	Out		Yes					17	66	17	1		481
35	3	-	2	-	3	Out		100.0	%				4	47	42	7	0	133,570
	2	-	5	-	1	Out		Yes					6	54	36	4	0	5,593
34	3	-	1	-	4	Out		99.8					1	29	51	18	1	128,864
	2	-	4	-	2	Out		99.9					2	36	49	13	1	26,890
	1	-	7	-	0	Out		Yes					4	45	47	4		53
33	2	-	3	-	3	Out		98.8					0	17	50	29	3	68,816
	3	-	0	-	5	Out		98.3					0	13	48	34	5	49,725
	1	-	6	-	1	Out		99.6					0	21	53	24	2	990
32	2	-	2	-	4	Out		91.6					0	6	38	46	10	99,611
	1	-	5	-	2	Out		94.1					0	8	44	40	7	5,571
	0	-	8	-	0	Out		Yes						50		50		2
31	2	-	1	-	5	Out		73.3						2	22	53	24	77,561
	1	-	4	-	3	Out		78.0						2	27	53	18	17,729
	0	-	7	-	1	Out		83.3						4	28	57	11	72
30	1	-	3	-	4	Out		49.5						0	12	51	37	34,457
	2	-	0	-	6	Out		44.8						0	10	49	41	25,029
	0	-	6	-	2	Out		54.7						0	15	55	30	468
29	1	-	2	-	5	Out		21.3						0	4	40	56	40,014
	0	-	5	-	3	Out		24.0						0	5	44	51	1,835
28	1	-	1	-	6	Out		6.6							1	26	73	25,780
	0	-	4	-	4	Out		8.2							2	30	68	4,403
27	1	-	0	-	7	Out		1.3							0	15	85	7,092
	0	-	3	-	5	Out		1.4							0	16	83	6,810
26	0	-	2	-	6	Out		0.1							0	8	92	6,566
25	0	-	1	-	7	Out		No								3	97	3,775
24	0	-	0	-	8	Out		No								1	99	1,061

Total:						1.3	%	89.4	%	0	0	1	18	33	23	16	9	1,437,104

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

48	8	-	0	-	0		1	5	21	35	27	10	2	0
46	7	-	1	-	0			0	2	13	29	33	18	4	0	0
45	7	-	0	-	1			0	0	2	13	31	34	17	3	0	0
44	6	-	2	-	0				0	1	5	20	36	27	10	2	0	0
43	6	-	1	-	1					0	1	6	24	37	23	7	1	0
42	6	-	0	-	2					0	0	1	9	27	35	22	6	1	0
	5	-	3	-	0						0	1	10	30	34	19	4	1	0
41	5	-	2	-	1						0	0	3	15	33	31	14	3	0	0
40	5	-	1	-	2							0	0	4	18	32	29	13	3	0	0
	4	-	4	-	0							0	1	6	21	35	26	10	2	0
39	5	-	0	-	3								0	1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0	0
	4	-	3	-	1								0	1	8	23	34	24	9	2	0	0
38	4	-	2	-	2								0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	2	0	0
	3	-	5	-	0									0	3	12	29	31	18	6	1	0
37	4	-	1	-	3									0	0	2	10	25	32	22	8	2	0	0	0
	3	-	4	-	1									0	0	2	13	28	31	19	6	1	0
36	3	-	3	-	2										0	0	3	13	28	30	18	6	1	0	0
	4	-	0	-	4										0	0	2	10	25	31	21	8	2	0	0
	2	-	6	-	0											1	5	19	31	26	15	3	0	0
35	3	-	2	-	3											0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0
	2	-	5	-	1											0	1	4	16	29	29	16	4	1	0
34	3	-	1	-	4											0	0	0	3	12	25	30	20	8	1	0	0
	2	-	4	-	2												0	1	4	15	28	29	16	5	1	0	0
	1	-	7	-	0														8	11	42	28	8	4
33	2	-	3	-	3													0	1	4	13	27	30	18	6	1	0
	3	-	0	-	5													0	0	3	11	25	30	21	8	2	0	0
	1	-	6	-	1														1	5	16	30	28	16	3	0
32	2	-	2	-	4													0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0
	1	-	5	-	2														0	1	4	15	29	29	16	5	1	0
	0	-	8	-	0																50				50
31	2	-	1	-	5														0	0	0	3	12	27	31	20	6	1	0
	1	-	4	-	3															0	1	4	15	28	31	17	4	1
	0	-	7	-	1																	7	17	28	32	17
30	1	-	3	-	4															0	0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0
	2	-	0	-	6																0	0	3	13	28	32	18	4	0	0
	0	-	6	-	2																	1	7	19	28	29	14	3
29	1	-	2	-	5																	0	1	4	16	32	32	14	1	0	0
	0	-	5	-	3																	0	1	5	18	32	30	12	1
28	1	-	1	-	6																		0	1	6	21	37	30	5	0	0
	0	-	4	-	4																		0	1	7	21	38	27	5	0
27	1	-	0	-	7																			0	1	8	28	44	17	2	0
	0	-	3	-	5																			0	1	10	30	41	16	2	0
26	0	-	2	-	6																				0	2	15	42	31	9	1
25	0	-	1	-	7																					0	5	33	39	20	3	0
24	0	-	0	-	8																						1	14	37	36	11	1

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	3	2	1	0	0	0