SL Benfica Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Tied Athletic Bilbao 2-2, Plays Celta Vigo, Plays Real Sociedad, playoff odds up 0.7 to 83.9%

19 points 5-4-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the SL Benfica finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		LGVFA		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Gold		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

43	8	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		92	8							948
41	7	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		76	24	0						3,679
40	7	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		54	44	2						7,065
39	6	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		42	55	2						6,764
38	6	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		27	64	9						25,925
37	6	-	0	-	2	In		Yes		13	65	22						25,193
	5	-	3	-	0	In		Yes		14	70	15						6,847
36	5	-	2	-	1	In		Yes		6	65	29						40,190
35	5	-	1	-	2	In		100.0	%	2	49	48						77,455
	4	-	4	-	0	In		100.0		3	53	43						4,519
34	5	-	0	-	3	100.0	%	99.8		0	33	67	0					49,744
	4	-	3	-	1	In		99.9		0	39	60						34,187
33	4	-	2	-	2	100.0		98.9			26	74	0					100,009
	3	-	5	-	0	In		99.3			30	70						1,905
32	4	-	1	-	3	99.6		92.3			13	87	0					129,994
	3	-	4	-	1	99.9		94.3			15	85	0					17,607
31	3	-	3	-	2	99.6		78.4			7	93	0					68,842
	4	-	0	-	4	99.0		74.2			5	94	1					62,539
	2	-	6	-	0	In		82.1			8	92						458
30	3	-	2	-	3	98.0		50.9			3	95	2	0				133,297
	2	-	5	-	1	99.2		55.0			3	96	1					5,533
29	3	-	1	-	4	91.7		22.8			1	91	8	0				128,721
	2	-	4	-	2	95.1		26.6			1	95	5	0				26,631
	1	-	7	-	0	98.6		30.6				99	1					72
28	2	-	3	-	3	89.1		8.7				89	11	0				68,956
	3	-	0	-	5	84.0		7.1				84	16	0	0			50,007
	1	-	6	-	1	92.5		9.8				92	8					971
27	2	-	2	-	4	73.5		1.8				74	25	1	0			99,914
	1	-	5	-	2	80.0		3.1				80	20	0				5,465
	0	-	8	-	0	75.0		No				75	25					4
26	2	-	1	-	5	51.1		0.2				51	42	6	0			77,549
	1	-	4	-	3	60.8		0.3				61	36	4	0			17,691
	0	-	7	-	1	78.3		3.3				78	22					60
25	1	-	3	-	4	39.5		0.0				40	49	11	0			34,386
	2	-	0	-	6	31.5		0.0				31	52	16	1			25,244
	0	-	6	-	2	49.2		No				49	45	6				504
24	1	-	2	-	5	17.7		No				18	50	29	3	0		40,483
	0	-	5	-	3	26.2		No				26	50	23	1			1,815
23	1	-	1	-	6	5.2		No				5	33	46	15	1		26,041
	0	-	4	-	4	8.6		No				9	42	40	9	0		4,450
22	1	-	0	-	7	1.1		No				1	15	47	32	5		7,336
	0	-	3	-	5	1.8		No				2	22	50	24	2		7,009
21	0	-	2	-	6	0.1		No				0	6	36	46	11		6,613
20	0	-	1	-	7	0.0		No				0	1	16	53	29		3,522
19	0	-	0	-	8	Out		No						5	38	56	1	960

Total:						83.9	%	51.5	%	2	14	68	11	4	1	0	0	1,437,104

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

43	8	-	0	-	0						0	6	29	40	20	4	0
41	7	-	1	-	0							0	4	19	35	29	10	2	0
40	7	-	0	-	1								0	6	22	34	25	9	2	0
39	6	-	2	-	0								0	1	10	24	33	22	7	1	0
38	6	-	1	-	1								0	0	2	11	26	32	20	7	1	0	0
37	6	-	0	-	2									0	0	3	11	25	31	20	7	2	0	0
	5	-	3	-	0										0	3	14	27	31	17	6	1	0
36	5	-	2	-	1									0	0	0	3	14	27	30	18	6	1	0	0
35	5	-	1	-	2											0	0	4	13	26	29	19	7	2	0	0
	4	-	4	-	0											0	1	4	15	28	29	16	6	1	0	0
34	5	-	0	-	3												0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0
	4	-	3	-	1												0	1	4	14	26	30	18	6	1	0	0
33	4	-	2	-	2												0	0	1	4	13	26	30	19	6	1	0	0
	3	-	5	-	0													0	0	5	16	29	28	17	4	1
32	4	-	1	-	3													0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0
	3	-	4	-	1													0	0	1	4	14	27	31	17	5	1	0
31	3	-	3	-	2															0	0	4	14	29	31	17	4	0	0
	4	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	3	12	27	32	19	6	1	0
	2	-	6	-	0																0	4	17	26	34	14	3	0
30	3	-	2	-	3															0	0	0	4	16	31	31	15	3	0	0
	2	-	5	-	1																0	1	5	17	33	31	12	2	0
29	3	-	1	-	4																0	0	1	5	18	33	30	12	1	0
	2	-	4	-	2																	0	1	6	20	35	28	9	1	0
	1	-	7	-	0																		4	10	17	40	25	4
28	2	-	3	-	3																	0	0	1	8	25	38	24	4	0	0
	3	-	0	-	5																	0	0	1	6	22	38	27	6	0	0
	1	-	6	-	1																		0	1	9	27	40	20	3
27	2	-	2	-	4																		0	0	2	11	32	39	15	2	0
	1	-	5	-	2																			0	3	13	35	37	11	1	0
	0	-	8	-	0																					25		50	25
26	2	-	1	-	5																			0	0	3	16	39	31	9	1	0
	1	-	4	-	3																			0	0	4	20	42	27	6	1	0
	0	-	7	-	1																				3	8	28	45	13	2
25	1	-	3	-	4																				0	1	7	31	40	19	3	0	0
	2	-	0	-	6																				0	0	5	26	40	23	5	0	0
	0	-	6	-	2																					1	12	33	39	13	2
24	1	-	2	-	5																					0	1	12	34	35	15	2	0
	0	-	5	-	3																					0	2	17	38	31	10	1
23	1	-	1	-	6																						0	3	18	36	31	11	1	0
	0	-	4	-	4																						0	5	24	37	25	7	1	0
22	1	-	0	-	7																							0	5	21	39	26	8	1
	0	-	3	-	5																						0	0	8	26	40	21	5	0
21	0	-	2	-	6																							0	1	10	29	39	18	3
20	0	-	1	-	7																								0	2	15	36	36	10	0
19	0	-	0	-	8																									0	4	20	45	30	1

Total:											0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	11	12	12	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0