FC Shakhtar Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Beat Fiorentina 5-1, Beat Napoli 2-1, Plays at Lazio, playoff odds up 14.8 to 97.7%

36 points 12-0-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the FC Shakhtar finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		LGVFA	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Gold	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

54	6	-	0	-	0	In		Yes	74	25	0						5,745
52	5	-	1	-	0	In		Yes	48	48	4						17,504
51	5	-	0	-	1	In		Yes	28	61	11						33,598
50	4	-	2	-	0	In		Yes	19	64	17						22,650
49	4	-	1	-	1	In		Yes	9	61	30						88,054
48	4	-	0	-	2	100.0	%	Yes	3	51	46	0					85,320
	3	-	3	-	0	In		Yes	4	55	41						15,462
47	3	-	2	-	1	100.0		Yes	1	43	56	0					90,802
46	3	-	1	-	2	99.9		Yes	0	30	69	0					175,350
	2	-	4	-	0	99.9		Yes	0	35	65	0					6,096
45	3	-	0	-	3	99.8		Yes	0	19	81	0					113,233
	2	-	3	-	1	99.8		Yes	0	22	77	0					46,212
44	2	-	2	-	2	99.6		Yes		14	86	0					135,315
	1	-	5	-	0	99.4		Yes		18	81	1					1,250
43	2	-	1	-	3	98.7		Yes		8	91	1					175,345
	1	-	4	-	1	98.7		Yes		9	89	1					12,132
42	2	-	0	-	4	97.5		Yes		4	94	2					85,039
	1	-	3	-	2	97.6		Yes		4	93	2					46,827
	0	-	6	-	0	98.9		Yes		6	93	1					95
41	1	-	2	-	3	96.0		Yes		2	94	4					90,736
	0	-	5	-	1	95.6		Yes		3	93	4					1,237
40	1	-	1	-	4	92.4		Yes		1	92	8					87,715
	0	-	4	-	2	92.7		Yes		1	92	7					5,940
39	1	-	0	-	5	88.7		Yes		0	89	11					33,991
	0	-	3	-	3	88.3		Yes		0	88	12					15,604
38	0	-	2	-	4	82.5		Yes		0	82	17	0				22,623
37	0	-	1	-	5	75.8		Yes			76	24	0				17,560
36	0	-	0	-	6	65.7		Yes			66	33	1				5,669

Total:						97.7	%	Yes	3	22	73	2	0				1,437,104

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

54	6	-	0	-	0	26	45	24	5	0	0
52	5	-	1	-	0	6	26	37	23	6	1	0
51	5	-	0	-	1	1	11	30	34	18	4	0	0
50	4	-	2	-	0	0	5	20	35	27	11	2	0
49	4	-	1	-	1	0	1	8	24	35	24	8	1	0
48	4	-	0	-	2	0	0	2	11	28	35	20	5	0
	3	-	3	-	0	0	0	2	13	30	33	18	4	0
47	3	-	2	-	1		0	0	4	17	34	31	12	1	0
46	3	-	1	-	2		0	0	1	6	22	37	28	6	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0			0	1	8	25	37	24	4	0	0
45	3	-	0	-	3			0	0	1	9	30	41	16	3	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1			0	0	2	11	32	39	14	2	0	0
44	2	-	2	-	2				0	0	3	17	41	29	9	1	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0					0	5	21	39	27	7	1	0
43	2	-	1	-	3					0	0	6	28	38	22	6	1	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1					0	1	7	30	38	19	4	1	0
42	2	-	0	-	4						0	1	13	33	33	15	3	0	0
	1	-	3	-	2					0	0	2	15	35	32	14	3	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0							3	15	38	36	6	2
41	1	-	2	-	3						0	0	4	20	34	28	11	2	0	0
	0	-	5	-	1							0	5	23	35	26	8	2	0
40	1	-	1	-	4							0	1	7	23	33	25	9	2	0	0
	0	-	4	-	2							0	1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0
39	1	-	0	-	5								0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	0	0
	0	-	3	-	3							0	0	2	11	26	32	21	7	1	0	0
38	0	-	2	-	4								0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0
37	0	-	1	-	5									0	0	3	12	27	31	19	7	1	0	0
36	0	-	0	-	6											1	3	12	28	29	19	7	1	0

Total:						0	1	2	4	7	11	14	18	15	11	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0