How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -2.8
-0.1
-0.6
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.2
+0.1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.1
-0.0
+0.1
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.1
-0.0
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.1
+0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -5.7
-0.7
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +3.4
+0.4
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +1.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.9
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +0.8
+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +0.7
+0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.5
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +0.4
+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.4
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.4
-0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.4
-0.0
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)-0.3
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.3
+0.0
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.1
+0.1
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 *-0.1
-0.1
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
10460-0InNo3295216161,613
10350-1InNo0125038215,787
10251-0InNo0437590669,197
40-2InNo0336601117,015
10141-1InNo01197640727,054
30-3InNo118756032,740
10042-0InNo08771401,130,384
31-2InNo0873190309,910
20-4InNo07692415,273
9932-1InNo02603530958,444
21-3InNo0252425064,645
10-5InNo2484360421
9833-0InNo03652110992,492
22-2100.0%No027541710298,975
11-4100.0No0205523206,541
00-6InNo14717714
9723-1100.0No011483650617,284
12-399.9No0742448040,616
01-5InNo338527241
9624-099.5No022951170478,931
13-298.9No012152251125,575
02-497.2No014513231,940
9514-194.4No0642466195,087
03-390.3No043552108,253
9415-083.5No012359160121,371
04-274.6No0146025119,277
9305-155.1No0451432024,408
9206-035.6No1355510012,932
Total:99.2%No011046251251007,336,420
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +1.2
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)-0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +1.3
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 -0.7
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -0.2
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.2
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 +0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10460-0037223814160
10350-1001111931335
10251-000463139200
40-200353138221
10141-10010192848400
30-310182649600
10042-000814631400
31-200812611900
20-40711582400
9932-100255535120
21-30244842130
10-5224743240
9833-0013552290
22-201275431510
11-400205532020
00-6147177
9723-100114833350
12-30074224280
01-53382507
9624-000229249170
13-20121151251
02-4014150323
9514-1006042466
03-3040345210
9415-00102359160
04-2001460251
9305-104514320
9206-013555100
Total:0001281234251115100