How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 -8.7
*No
-0.5
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.6
-0.0
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.6
-0.0
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.5
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.4
-0.0
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.3
+0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.3
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 -5.3
-0.4
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+4.2
+0.3
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +1.6
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +1.5
*No
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +1.0
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.9
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +0.8
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.6
-0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.6
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.5
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.4
+0.1
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)*-0.2
-0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)*+0.2
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.1
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 *-0.1
-0.0
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)*No
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
9460-047.8%No840458151,060
9350-121.2No12055230204,932
9251-06.3No0647461636,955
40-24.9No0546491114,773
9141-11.2No0129664711,482
30-30.8No12669433,593
9042-00.1No01376111,101,445
31-20.1No0127711311,906
20-40.0No01078125,294
8932-10.0No047026961,983
21-3OutNo4702666,523
10-5OutNo26929466
8833-0OutNo15841994,420
22-2OutNo15841309,834
11-4OutNo157436,887
00-6OutNo386316
8723-1OutNo038610640,663
12-3OutNo03862043,189
01-5OutNo39601307
8624-0OutNo24751496,111
13-2OutNo24751134,149
02-4OutNo247522,210
8514-1OutNo10845208,129
03-3OutNo108479,384
8415-0OutNo58610129,025
04-2OutNo4831321,216
8305-1OutNo1752426,314
8206-0OutNo0653514,154
Total:2.3%No0213533017,336,420
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 +0.7
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 -0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.5
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.4
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 -0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 +0.1
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 +0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9460-00840458
9350-1012055230
9251-00647461
40-20546491
9141-101029664
30-31026694
9042-000137611
31-200127711
20-40107812
8932-1047026
21-347026
10-526929
8833-0158410
22-2158420
11-4157430
00-63863
8723-10386110
12-30386210
01-538612
8624-02373300
13-22373400
02-4227350
8514-19751510
03-38731710
8415-03613140
04-23573460
8305-103545172
8206-0017463160
Total:00201353292000