How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -3.4
-0.6
-0.5
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.4
-0.0
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.3
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.2
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.2
+0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.1
Vancouver Canucks 3 Los Angeles Kings 4 -0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -4.8
-0.1
-0.6
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -4.6
-0.1
-0.6
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +0.8
+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +0.6
+0.1
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)-0.6
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +0.6
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.6
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.6
+0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.5
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.5
-0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.4
-0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.3
+0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.3
+0.1
-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.2
-0.0
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.2
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)*+0.1
*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
9960-0InNo0548434036,265
9850-1100.0%No011954242052,784
9751-099.8No08444080163,589
40-299.3No04344715132,140
9641-195.1No001447345199,310
30-391.0No084043910,599
9542-085.2No05334815309,549
31-275.8No0222522497,461
20-465.5No11451351,878
9432-152.7No08454710302,494
21-341.2No0437581023,590
10-535.7No333604182
9333-033.3No03316330312,418
22-222.4No01227340110,486
11-415.1No01579602,874
00-611.1No11899
9223-18.8No0976151228,023
12-34.4No047519117,973
01-52.0No272241148
9124-03.2No0366283177,471
13-21.3No16431456,036
02-40.3No0563761,082
9014-10.2No043451286,458
03-3OutNo3648164,531
8915-00.0No024502653,296
04-2OutNo21502910,698
8805-1OutNo9434813,121
8706-0OutNo3286826,995
Total:49.7%No00271525399202,311,460
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +1.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)-0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +1.2
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +1.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.2
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.1
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)+0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 -0.0
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9960-0005143443310
9850-100121754141020
9751-000744172480
40-2004341631151
9641-1000141235345
30-308831439
9542-00055284815
31-2022205224
20-411135135
9432-1017454710
21-3004375810
10-51233604
9333-0002316330
22-2001227340
11-40157960
00-61189
9223-100976151
12-30475191
01-5272241
9124-003066283
13-21064314
02-4056376
9014-10434512
03-3364816
8915-002450260
04-2215029
8805-1943480
8706-03276820
Total:000027411250399200