How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -2.2
-0.1
-0.4
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.2
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.2
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.2
-0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 +0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.1
-0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.1
+0.0
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -6.2
-0.7
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -4.2
-0.5
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +1.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -1.0
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +0.9
+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +0.8
+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.5
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.4
+0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.4
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.4
-0.0
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)-0.4
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.4
-0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.4
-0.0
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.1
-0.1
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.1
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
9960-0InNo0141526041,904
9850-1100.0%No01357282086,192
9751-099.8No05434380266,329
40-299.5No02335014173,075
9641-196.1No01350334449,542
30-392.4No074342831,648
9542-087.8No05364712697,306
31-279.9No02255320296,441
20-472.3No11854287,770
9432-158.4No0010484110917,839
21-346.9No0542521095,261
10-535.3No02336411,018
9333-039.0No03355830948,577
22-227.5No01266940442,762
11-418.9No019765015,173
00-612.0No1282650
9223-111.7No01274140914,588
12-36.4No067617193,363
01-52.7No378191916
9124-04.8No0567272709,149
13-22.1No0267292288,359
02-40.6No1643237,259
9014-10.4No045468446,006
03-3OutNo41471229,488
8915-00.1No0275220276,969
04-2OutNo25522369,190
8805-1OutNo11484285,507
8706-0OutNo33264144,739
Total:41.1%No001412244313307,336,420
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.7
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)-0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +1.3
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +1.0
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -0.2
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.2
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 +0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9960-00143752240
9850-100135752320
9751-00054343980
40-200233347141
9641-10013248334
30-307142428
9542-0051354712
31-2020255320
20-410175428
9432-100010484110
21-3005425210
10-50233641
9333-0003355830
22-2001266940
11-40197650
00-612826
9223-1001274140
12-30676171
01-5378191
9124-005067262
13-202067292
02-4164323
9014-10045468
03-3414712
8915-000275220
04-2255223
8805-11148420
8706-03326410
Total:000140112404313300