Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Lost to St. Louis Blues 2-4, Lost to Vancouver Canucks 1-8, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0%

67 points 28 37-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	+6.3		+0.3
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	+1.7		+0.1
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	+1.6		+0.0
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	-0.9		-0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Dallas Stars 1 (ot)	*+0.1

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	-8.3		-0.4
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	+6.8		+0.3
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	+2.1		+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	-1.9		-0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	-1.7		-0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	-1.7		-0.0
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	-1.4		-0.1
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	+0.3
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	*+0.3		+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	*+0.2		+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix Coyotes finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in	Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

79	6	0		-	0	Out	No									0	6	59	35					36,655
78	5	0		-	1	Out	No									0	2	44	55					53,170
77	5	1		-	0	Out	No									0	0	30	69	0				163,821
	4	0		-	2	Out	No										0	30	69	0				32,306
76	4	1		-	1	Out	No										0	17	82	1				199,028
	3	0		-	3	Out	No											17	82	1				10,446
75	4	2		-	0	Out	No											9	88	3				309,853
	3	1		-	2	Out	No											9	87	4				96,990
	2	0		-	4	Out	No											9	85	6				1,941
74	3	2		-	1	Out	No											3	89	8				302,252
	2	1		-	3	Out	No											3	86	10				23,493
	1	0		-	5	Out	No											2	82	16				197
73	3	3		-	0	Out	No											1	84	15				312,649
	2	2		-	2	Out	No											1	80	19				109,945
	1	1		-	4	Out	No											1	73	26				2,928
	0	0		-	6	Out	No												78	22				9
72	2	3		-	1	Out	No											0	71	28				228,271
	1	2		-	3	Out	No											0	66	34				17,881
	0	1		-	5	Out	No												62	38				129
71	2	4		-	0	Out	No											0	59	41				177,289
	1	3		-	2	Out	No											0	52	48				55,904
	0	2		-	4	Out	No												46	54				1,074
70	1	4		-	1	Out	No												42	58				86,388
	0	3		-	3	Out	No												35	65				4,537
69	1	5		-	0	Out	No												29	71				53,536
	0	4		-	2	Out	No												25	75				10,532
68	0	5		-	1	Out	No												17	83	0			13,284
67	0	6		-	0	Out	No												10	90	1			6,952

Total:						Out	No									0	0	8	74	17	0			2,311,460

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	-0.8
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	-0.2
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3	-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	+0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)	+0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	+1.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	-0.9
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	+0.2
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	-0.2
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	+0.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6	-0.1
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	-0.1
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1	-0.1
Winnipeg Jets 5 Detroit Red Wings 0	-0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

79	6	0		-	0																				0	1	9	54	34	2	0
78	5	0		-	1																					0	2	36	51	10	0
77	5	1		-	0																					0	0	20	55	23	2	0
	4	0		-	2																					0	0	20	54	24	2	0
76	4	1		-	1																						0	7	43	42	8	0
	3	0		-	3																						0	7	43	42	8	0
75	4	2		-	0																							2	28	51	19	0
	3	1		-	2																							2	26	51	20	1
	2	0		-	4																							2	26	49	22	1
74	3	2		-	1																							0	11	48	38	3
	2	1		-	3																							0	11	46	39	4
	1	0		-	5																							1	7	46	39	8
73	3	3		-	0																							0	4	34	53	9	0
	2	2		-	2																							0	3	31	53	12	0
	1	1		-	4																								3	31	50	16	0
	0	0		-	6																								11	11	56	22
72	2	3		-	1																							0	1	17	58	23	1	0
	1	2		-	3																								1	16	56	27	1	0
	0	1		-	5																								2	21	44	31	2
71	2	4		-	0																								0	7	49	39	5	0
	1	3		-	2																								0	6	45	43	6	0
	0	2		-	4																									5	40	46	8
70	1	4		-	1																								0	1	30	51	17	1
	0	3		-	3																									1	26	52	20	1
69	1	5		-	0																									0	14	46	35	5
	0	4		-	2																									0	12	46	37	5
68	0	5		-	1																									0	4	32	48	15	0
67	0	6		-	0																									0	1	15	51	33	0

Total:																									0	0	0	4	17	30	32	12	3	0	0