Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Lost to St. Louis Blues 2-4, Lost to Vancouver Canucks 1-8, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0%

67 points 28 37-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	+3.0		+0.3
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	+0.9
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	-0.7		-0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	+0.6		+0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	+5.5		+0.4
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	-2.9		-0.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	-1.2		-0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	+1.1		+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	-1.1		-0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	-1.0		-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	-0.6		-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	+0.2		+0.0
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	*+0.1		+0.1
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	*-0.1		-0.0
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1			+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix Coyotes finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in	Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

79	6	0		-	0	Out	No									1	12	67	20					2,901
78	5	0		-	1	Out	No									0	4	59	37					9,538
77	5	1		-	0	Out	No										1	45	54	0				29,536
	4	0		-	2	Out	No									0	1	46	53					17,025
76	4	1		-	1	Out	No										0	28	72	0				105,790
	3	0		-	3	Out	No										0	28	72	0				15,872
75	4	2		-	0	Out	No											16	83	0				163,243
	3	1		-	2	Out	No											17	83	0				146,814
	2	0		-	4	Out	No											16	83	0				7,991
74	3	2		-	1	Out	No											7	92	1				455,224
	2	1		-	3	Out	No											7	91	1				99,839
	1	0		-	5	Out	No											8	91	1				2,184
73	3	3		-	0	Out	No											3	95	2				471,139
	2	2		-	2	Out	No											3	94	3				465,838
	1	1		-	4	Out	No											3	93	4				33,392
	0	0		-	6	Out	No											4	90	6				216
72	2	3		-	1	Out	No											1	93	6				963,219
	1	2		-	3	Out	No											1	91	8				208,554
	0	1		-	5	Out	No											1	89	10				4,461
71	2	4		-	0	Out	No											0	88	12				747,218
	1	3		-	2	Out	No											0	85	15				645,377
	0	2		-	4	Out	No											0	80	19				34,417
70	1	4		-	1	Out	No												77	23				1,000,542
	0	3		-	3	Out	No												71	29				140,676
69	1	5		-	0	Out	No												64	36				621,322
	0	4		-	2	Out	No												59	41				328,209
68	0	5		-	1	Out	No												48	52	0			405,707
67	0	6		-	0	Out	No												32	68	0			210,176

Total:						Out	No									0	0	3	80	17	0			7,336,420

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	-0.6
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	+0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	-0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)	+0.1
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	-0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	-0.8
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	+0.4
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	+0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	+0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	-0.1
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1	-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	+0.1
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	-0.1
St. Louis Blues 3 Boston Bruins 1	-0.0
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4	-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	-0.0
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3	+0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

79	6	0		-	0																				0	1	16	62	20	1
78	5	0		-	1																				0	0	6	53	37	3	0
77	5	1		-	0																					0	1	37	52	10	0
	4	0		-	2																					0	1	37	52	9	0
76	4	1		-	1																						0	18	55	25	2
	3	0		-	3																						0	18	55	25	2
75	4	2		-	0																							7	46	40	6	0
	3	1		-	2																							7	45	41	7	0
	2	0		-	4																							7	45	41	7	0
74	3	2		-	1																							2	26	53	18	0
	2	1		-	3																							2	26	53	19	0
	1	0		-	5																							2	27	52	19	0
73	3	3		-	0																							0	13	51	35	1	0
	2	2		-	2																							0	12	50	37	1	0
	1	1		-	4																							0	12	49	37	2	0
	0	0		-	6																							0	11	49	38	1
72	2	3		-	1																							0	3	37	56	4	0
	1	2		-	3																							0	3	36	56	5	0
	0	1		-	5																							0	3	35	55	6	0
71	2	4		-	0																							0	1	21	67	11	0	0
	1	3		-	2																							0	1	20	66	13	0	0
	0	2		-	4																							0	1	19	64	16	0
70	1	4		-	1																								0	8	65	25	2	0
	0	3		-	3																								0	7	61	30	2	0
69	1	5		-	0																								0	2	49	40	8	0
	0	4		-	2																								0	2	46	43	9	0
68	0	5		-	1																									0	28	48	22	2	0
67	0	6		-	0																									0	11	41	40	8	0

Total:																									0	0	0	1	8	24	46	16	4	0	0