How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 -3.4
-0.4
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.5
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.3
-0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.3
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.3
+0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.2
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.1
Minnesota Wild 2 Dallas Stars 1 (ot)*No
Vancouver Canucks 3 Los Angeles Kings 4 *No
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 +1.9
+0.3
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 +1.9
+0.3
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +0.4
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +0.4
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +0.4
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.3
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.3
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.3
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)*-0.3
-0.0
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.3
+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.3
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.2
+0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.2
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
8760-0OutNo010464436,118
8650-1OutNo2296852,396
8551-0OutNo11683164,214
40-2OutNo0128732,157
8441-1OutNo0694200,423
30-3OutNo049610,431
8342-0OutNo0298310,278
31-2OutNo019997,799
20-4OutNo1991,865
8232-1OutNo0100301,897
21-3OutNo010023,579
10-5OutNo100205
8133-0OutNo1000312,720
22-2OutNo1000110,262
11-4OutNo10002,875
00-6OutNo10010
8023-1OutNo991228,493
12-3OutNo98217,845
01-5OutNo973116
7924-0OutNo9730176,696
13-2OutNo964055,855
02-4OutNo9551,091
7814-1OutNo8911085,643
03-3OutNo861404,547
7715-0OutNo7920153,529
04-2OutNo7623110,523
7605-1OutNo5838413,030
7506-0OutNo424996,863
Total:OutNo00494202,311,460
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.6
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.1
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.5
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.5
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 -0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.0
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)+0.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 -0.0
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8760-0010454400
8650-12286640
8551-011371151
40-201071171
8441-103573460
30-302543670
8342-0013647170
31-203248190
20-403049210
8232-101647361
21-301446391
10-51445402
8133-06375440
22-2535564
11-4433567
00-6405010
8023-122067110
12-311866140
01-51166618
7924-0010652410
13-20965251
02-40959311
7814-1035240500
03-302454570
7715-00133521310
04-2132521510
7605-10164731600
7506-0536421520
Total:00323293681000