How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)-1.2
-0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.5
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.4
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.3
-0.0
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.3
+0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.1
+0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.1
-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 *+0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -9.7
-0.7
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -9.0
No
-0.7
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +1.8
+0.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -1.6
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +0.9
+0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.9
+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.9
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +0.8
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.6
-0.0
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)-0.6
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.5
+0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.5
-0.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.4
-0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.2
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.2
+0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 *-0.1
-0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New York Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
9460-053.1%No0944406045,325
9350-119.0No01185326192,453
9251-04.9No0540487286,410
40-23.4No033652876,876
9141-10.5No0186319476,734
30-30.3No015652032,570
9042-00.0No065439739,254
31-20.0No055441304,938
20-4OutNo455427,483
8932-1OutNo14257944,631
21-3OutNo1425793,664
10-5OutNo04059889
8833-0OutNo02476975,088
22-2OutNo02476435,432
11-4OutNo0237713,718
00-6OutNo237730
8723-1OutNo14851900,393
12-3OutNo1484285,357
01-5OutNo14841810
8624-0OutNo5913698,152
13-2OutNo5904264,783
02-4OutNo58865,960
8514-1OutNo28314408,904
03-3OutNo2801824,859
8415-0OutNo07525254,606
04-2OutNo0693057,652
8305-1OutNo0475372,015
8206-0OutNo336737,434
Total:0.8%No0015286237,336,420
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)+0.3
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.1
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +1.3
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +1.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 +0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9460-0009444160
9350-10011853261
9251-0005040487
40-20336528
9141-100186319
30-30156520
9042-00065439
31-2055441
20-445542
8932-1142570
21-3142570
10-504059
8833-00247600
22-20247600
11-4023760
00-62377
8723-11483300
12-3148240
01-513834
8624-05851000
13-25811310
02-4579161
8514-12623150
03-31563560
8415-0042431310
04-2035451820
8305-1014413690
8206-052846200
Total:00010528586200