How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +6.7
+0.5
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.8
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 +0.5
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.4
+0.0
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.4
+0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.3
-0.0
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.1
+0.0
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +6.1
+0.5
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 +6.0
+0.5
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +1.4
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -1.2
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 +1.0
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +1.0
+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +1.0
+0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +1.0
+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.9
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)-0.7
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.5
+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +0.5
+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.4
+0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.4
-0.1
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.3
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 *-0.2
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)*-0.2
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 *+0.1
-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New York Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
11260-0In21.0%742636,233
11150-1In10.7613952,691
11051-0In3.94456163,353
40-2In3.6435732,069
10941-1In1.33070200,176
30-3In1.2316910,497
10842-0In0.217821309,868
31-2In0.21682197,311
20-4In0.4168221,946
10732-1In0.098740302,456
21-3In0.08875023,534
10-5InNo8875201
10633-0In0.0383140312,201
22-2In0.0382150110,475
11-4InNo3831402,880
00-6InNo71297
10523-1InNo169291228,605
12-3InNo16730217,878
01-5InNo74251163
10424-0InNo0484660177,019
13-2InNo046477056,000
02-4InNo04646801,118
10314-1InNo0265519186,361
03-3InNo25532114,525
10215-0InNo1149355053,447
04-2InNo944398010,451
10105-1InNo2284920113,059
10006-0InNo0114041806,936
Total:In1.1%14681530002,311,460
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.9
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4 -0.0
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*-0.0
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -1.0
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 -0.9
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 -0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+0.1
Edmonton Oilers 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0 -0.0
Ottawa Senators 2 Carolina Hurricanes 3 (ot)+0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)+0.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 +0.0
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4 +0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11260-02153260
11150-11151381
11051-0441533
40-2439544
10941-11296010
30-31305811
10842-0017631910
31-2016602210
20-401657252
10732-1094938400
21-3084543400
10-5841465
10633-00334491310
22-20329541320
11-4327561220
00-6294329
10523-11125721810
12-31959201020
01-59651781
10424-0044425215000
13-202432126710
02-402442026710
10314-10025124314510
03-30258441471
10215-00115441917500
04-292421623710
10105-1202810391551
10006-000113372219800
Total:1133731862100000