Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Lost to Dallas Stars 0-10, Plays at Winnipeg Jets, playoff odds down 2.1 to 0.2%

70 points 32 37-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	+2.1		+0.3
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	-0.5
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	+0.4
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	-0.3		-0.1

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	-1.5		-0.2
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1	-1.5		-0.2
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	-0.3
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	+0.3
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	-0.3
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	+0.2
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	*-0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	-0.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	-0.2		-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	*-0.1
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	*+0.1		+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville Predators finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

84	7	0		-	0	16.6	%	No								17	53	27	4						18,241
83	6	0		-	1	3.6		No								4	36	45	15						30,848
82	6	1		-	0	0.8		No								1	20	49	31						95,466
	5	0		-	2	0.5		No								0	16	48	35						22,375
81	5	1		-	1	0.1		No								0	7	38	55						139,639
	4	0		-	3	0.1		No								0	5	36	60						9,223
80	5	2		-	0	0.0		No								0	2	26	72						217,328
	4	1		-	2	0.0		No								0	2	24	75						85,009
	3	0		-	4	Out		No									2	21	77						2,171
79	4	2		-	1	Out		No									0	13	87	0					263,836
	3	1		-	3	Out		No									0	11	89	0					27,723
	2	0		-	5	Out		No										8	92						302
78	4	3		-	0	Out		No									0	5	93	1					273,565
	3	2		-	2	Out		No									0	5	94	1					129,413
	2	1		-	4	Out		No										4	94	2					5,113
	1	0		-	6	Out		No											100						28
77	3	3		-	1	Out		No									0	2	94	4					266,120
	2	2		-	3	Out		No										2	95	4					31,577
	1	1		-	5	Out		No										1	95	4					493
	0	0		-	7	Out		No											100						3
76	3	4		-	0	Out		No									0	0	87	13	0				206,413
	2	3		-	2	Out		No										0	86	13	0				97,981
	1	2		-	4	Out		No										0	86	13	0				3,822
	0	1		-	6	Out		No											96	4					23
75	2	4		-	1	Out		No										0	76	23	1				151,212
	1	3		-	3	Out		No										0	75	24	1				15,637
	0	2		-	5	Out		No											71	29	0				204
74	2	5		-	0	Out		No											55	41	4				93,656
	1	4		-	2	Out		No											55	41	4				36,590
	0	3		-	4	Out		No											55	40	5				953
73	1	5		-	1	Out		No											38	52	10				45,821
	0	4		-	3	Out		No											36	53	11				2,981
72	1	6		-	0	Out		No											18	56	25				23,604
	0	5		-	2	Out		No											17	56	27				5,509
71	0	6		-	1	Out		No											9	48	43				5,841
70	0	7		-	0	Out		No											2	31	67				2,740

Total:						0.2	%	No								0	3	12	76	8	1				2,311,460

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	-0.5
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	+0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)	+0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	+0.1
Philadelphia Flyers 3 Detroit Red Wings 4	+0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1	+0.6
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	+0.5
St. Louis Blues 3 Boston Bruins 1	-0.1
Winnipeg Jets 5 Detroit Red Wings 0	-0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	-0.1
Boston Bruins 1 Philadelphia Flyers 4	-0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3	+0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	+0.0
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	+0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

84	7	0		-	0																17		0	2	42	31	8	1
83	6	0		-	1																4			0	23	41	27	6
82	6	1		-	0																1			0	10	34	40	16
	5	0		-	2																0			0	8	31	42	18
81	5	1		-	1																0				2	16	43	39	0
	4	0		-	3																0				1	14	42	43	0
80	5	2		-	0																0				0	7	34	58	0
	4	1		-	2																0				0	6	32	61	1
	3	0		-	4																				0	4	31	63	1
79	4	2		-	1																				0	1	18	78	3	0
	3	1		-	3																				0	1	16	79	4	0
	2	0		-	5																					0	13	79	8
78	4	3		-	0																				0	0	8	81	10	0	0
	3	2		-	2																				0	0	7	80	13	0	0
	2	1		-	4																					0	7	77	15	0
	1	0		-	6																							64	32	4
77	3	3		-	1																					0	2	74	23	2	0
	2	2		-	3																					0	2	70	27	2	0
	1	1		-	5																						1	66	30	3
	0	0		-	7																							67	33
76	3	4		-	0																					0	0	53	39	7	0	0
	2	3		-	2																						0	48	42	9	1	0
	1	2		-	4																						0	43	45	11	1
	0	1		-	6																							22	78
75	2	4		-	1																						0	31	47	19	3	0
	1	3		-	3																						0	26	48	22	3	0
	0	2		-	5																							16	53	25	5
74	2	5		-	0																							13	40	36	11	1
	1	4		-	2																							10	38	38	13	1
	0	3		-	4																							8	38	39	14	1
73	1	5		-	1																							4	24	42	26	4	0
	0	4		-	3																							3	22	41	29	5	0
72	1	6		-	0																							1	8	33	42	16	1
	0	5		-	2																							0	7	31	43	18	1
71	0	6		-	1																							0	2	15	42	35	5	0
70	0	7		-	0																								0	3	28	51	16	0

Total:																					0		0	0	1	5	14	55	17	6	2	1	0	0