How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 +2.4
+0.4
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 +1.4
+0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 +0.1
+0.0
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 -0.1
-0.0
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)*+0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 -0.0
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 +0.9
+0.4
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3 +0.6
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.5
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)-0.2
-0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 +0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 +0.1
+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 +0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 +0.1
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
+0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0 +0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 +0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal Canadiens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
10760-0In0.0%139591354,507
10650-1InNo022708363,790
10551-0InNo01173161,123,737
40-2InNo096824144,059
10441-1InNo0455420892,826
30-3InNo24553028,922
10342-0InNo01435511,384,854
31-2InNo133651268,467
20-4InNo0267223,029
10232-1InNo0187660830,098
21-3InNo011818038,308
10-5InNo11837180
10133-0InNo01072170859,249
22-2InNo0674190178,396
11-4InNo3771902,555
00-6InNo2525504
10023-1InNo0259363368,414
12-3InNo15639416,175
01-5InNo5736756
9924-0InNo1375211285,457
13-2InNo034531349,898
02-4InNo325414548
9814-1InNo015513477,778
03-3InNo1351372,177
9715-0InNo04365948,106
04-2InNo332654,963
9605-1InNo012876,177
9506-0InNo03973,690
Total:In0.0%053946927,336,420
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington Capitals 1 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.8
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3 -0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3 +0.1
Boston Bruins 3 New York Rangers 2 (ot)-0.0
New York Islanders 6 Ottawa Senators 3 +0.0
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6 -0.7
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)+0.3
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2 -0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1 -0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1 -0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2 +0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3 -0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6 +0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+0.1
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10760-001152556310
10650-10418581380
10551-001104429151
40-20083434222
10441-1003163933900
30-3021036381400
10342-0001538312410
31-201231293510
20-40125274420
10232-100181659420
21-300111369530
10-511117252
10133-00010667980
22-20063718110
11-432757120
00-625252525
10023-1020589283
12-310567324
01-5575307
9924-0103774511
13-2003454813
02-43264814
9814-1001524934
03-31314937
9715-00413659
04-2303265
9605-1001287
9506-00397
Total:001416231729362