Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Calgary Flames 5-4, Plays Winnipeg Jets, playoff odds down 1.7 to 5.1%

75 points 35 35-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	+6.4		+0.2
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	+2.3
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	+1.6		+0.0
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	-0.4		-0.1

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	+9.2		+0.3
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	+7.1		+0.2
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	-2.7		-0.1
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	-2.3		-0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	+2.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	-1.6		-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	-1.2
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	+0.9		+0.0
Nashville Predators 0 Ottawa Senators 1	+0.3
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	+0.2
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	*-0.2		-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago Blackhawks finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

89	7	0		-	0	99.1	%	No								99	1								4,443
88	6	0		-	1	94.3		No								94	6								13,809
87	6	1		-	0	82.3		No								82	17	0							42,903
	5	0		-	2	80.9		No								81	19	0							20,324
86	5	1		-	1	57.9		No								58	40	3							125,692
	4	0		-	3	53.5		No								54	43	3							15,870
85	5	2		-	0	33.2		No								33	58	9							195,457
	4	1		-	2	31.4		No								31	59	10							148,535
	3	0		-	4	27.1		No								27	61	12							7,211
84	4	2		-	1	12.4		No								12	62	25	0						460,567
	3	1		-	3	10.9		No								11	62	27	0						90,050
	2	0		-	5	6.7		No								7	63	31							1,898
83	4	3		-	0	3.8		No								4	54	43	0						476,561
	3	2		-	2	3.5		No								4	53	43	0						419,578
	2	1		-	4	2.9		No								3	52	45	0						29,710
	1	0		-	6	0.8		No								1	47	52	0						261
82	3	3		-	1	0.7		No								1	35	63	0						865,342
	2	2		-	3	0.6		No								1	35	64	1						184,080
	1	1		-	5	0.3		No								0	33	65	2						4,966
	0	0		-	7	Out		No									16	79	5						19
81	3	4		-	0	0.1		No								0	22	76	2						671,719
	2	3		-	2	0.1		No								0	22	75	3						568,135
	1	2		-	4	0.1		No								0	21	75	4						38,462
	0	1		-	6	Out		No									16	74	10						290
80	2	4		-	1	0.0		No								0	11	83	7						881,983
	1	3		-	3	0.0		No								0	10	80	10						158,614
	0	2		-	5	Out		No									9	74	16						3,158
79	2	5		-	0	Out		No									5	80	14						546,828
	1	4		-	2	Out		No									5	77	18						369,918
	0	3		-	4	Out		No									4	70	26						15,987
78	1	5		-	1	Out		No									1	68	30	0					458,403
	0	4		-	3	Out		No									1	58	40	0					49,122
77	1	6		-	0	Out		No									0	52	48	0					237,847
	0	5		-	2	Out		No									0	46	53	0					91,184
76	0	6		-	1	Out		No									0	31	69	1					94,666
75	0	7		-	0	Out		No									0	15	83	2	0				42,828

Total:						5.1	%	No								5	26	59	9	0	0				7,336,420

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado Avalanche 3 Chicago Blackhawks 4 (ot)	-0.6
Nashville Predators 1 Calgary Flames 0	-0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Anaheim Ducks 4	-0.1
Phoenix Coyotes 4 San Jose Sharks 3 (ot)	+0.1

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago Blackhawks 6 Calgary Flames 4	-0.7
Chicago Blackhawks 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (ot)	-0.6
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	+0.2
Calgary Flames 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 0	+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	+0.1
San Jose Sharks 3 Philadelphia Flyers 4	-0.1
St. Louis Blues 5 Phoenix Coyotes 3	-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)	+0.1
Nashville Predators 3 Edmonton Oilers 4	-0.0
Minnesota Wild 2 Anaheim Ducks 1 (ot)	+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89	7	0		-	0																99	0	0	1	0
88	6	0		-	1																94		1	3	2
87	6	1		-	0																82		1	7	9	0
	5	0		-	2																81	0	1	8	10	0
86	5	1		-	1																58		1	11	29	2	0
	4	0		-	3																54		0	10	33	3	0
85	5	2		-	0																33		0	8	49	9	0
	4	1		-	2																31		0	7	49	11	1
	3	0		-	4																27		0	7	51	14	1
84	4	2		-	1																12		0	3	53	28	3	0
	3	1		-	3																11		0	2	52	31	4	0
	2	0		-	5																7			1	51	36	5
83	4	3		-	0																4		0	1	42	44	9	0
	3	2		-	2																4		0	1	39	45	12	0
	2	1		-	4																3			0	35	47	15	0
	1	0		-	6																1				31	53	15
82	3	3		-	1																1			0	22	53	24	0
	2	2		-	3																1			0	19	51	29	0
	1	1		-	5																0				17	50	32	1
	0	0		-	7																				5	47	47
81	3	4		-	0																0				11	48	41	1
	2	3		-	2																0				9	43	46	2
	1	2		-	4																0				7	39	51	3
	0	1		-	6																				8	28	58	7
80	2	4		-	1																0				3	32	60	5	0
	1	3		-	3																0				2	26	64	8	0
	0	2		-	5																				2	23	62	14	0
79	2	5		-	0																				1	19	68	12	0
	1	4		-	2																				1	14	69	16	0
	0	3		-	4																				0	10	65	24	0
78	1	5		-	1																				0	7	62	29	1	0
	0	4		-	3																				0	4	54	39	3	0
77	1	6		-	0																				0	2	47	46	4	0
	0	5		-	2																				0	1	41	51	7	0
76	0	6		-	1																					0	24	59	17	1	0
75	0	7		-	0																					0	10	58	30	3	0

Total:																					5	0	0	1	17	31	37	8	1	0	0