Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Lost to Detroit Red Wings 0-4, Beat Ottawa Senators 4-0, playoff odds unchanged at 100%

96 points 46 26-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1	-0.2		-1.0		-0.3
Toronto Maple Leafs 0 Columbus Blue Jackets 3	+0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1			-0.3
Vancouver Canucks 3 Los Angeles Kings 4			-0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3					-0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4	-0.3		-0.3		-0.4
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1	-0.2		-0.3		-0.3
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3	+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)	-0.1
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)					+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1					+0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2			+0.2		-0.0
Florida Panthers 3 Dallas Stars 2 (ot)			-0.1
Dallas Stars 1 Los Angeles Kings 4			-0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1			-0.1		+0.1
Colorado Avalanche 3 San Jose Sharks 4 (ot)			-0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2					+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo Sabres finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in	Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	6	0		-	0	In	0.0	%	6	59	36														238,896
107	5	0		-	1	In	No		1	40	59	1													281,337
106	5	1		-	0	In	No		0	27	70	3													871,511
	4	0		-	2	In	No		0	24	71	5													132,358
105	4	1		-	1	In	No		0	11	73	16													819,128
	3	0		-	3	In	No		0	9	68	23													31,842
104	4	2		-	0	In	No		0	5	68	27	0												1,270,617
	3	1		-	2	In	No		0	4	61	35	0												295,594
	2	0		-	4	In	No			3	55	43	0												4,058
103	3	2		-	1	In	No			1	43	55	1												918,315
	2	1		-	3	In	No			1	34	64	1												51,380
	1	0		-	5	In	No			0	26	71	2												291
102	3	3		-	0	In	No			0	30	66	4	0											950,269
	2	2		-	2	In	No			0	22	72	5	0											239,147
	1	1		-	4	In	No			0	17	77	6	0											4,343
	0	0		-	6	In	No				17	50	33												12
101	2	3		-	1	In	No			0	10	73	16	0											492,599
	1	2		-	3	In	No				6	75	19	0											26,561
	0	1		-	5	In	No				5	74	20	1											140
100	2	4		-	0	In	No			0	5	64	30	1											382,729
	1	3		-	2	In	No				3	61	34	2											82,502
	0	2		-	4	In	No				2	58	37	4											1,145
99	1	4		-	1	In	No				1	39	52	9											127,591
	0	3		-	3	In	No				0	34	54	12											4,439
98	1	5		-	0	In	No				0	20	55	25											79,113
	0	4		-	2	In	No				0	16	52	31											10,374
97	0	5		-	1	In	No					5	40	55											12,792
96	0	6		-	0	In	No					1	19	81											7,337

Total:						In	0.0	%	0	10	47	37	6	1											7,336,420

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina Hurricanes 4 Buffalo Sabres 1	+0.6
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 New Jersey Devils 3	+0.1
Florida Panthers 4 Pittsburgh Penguins 1	-0.0

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo Sabres 2 New York Islanders 4	+0.8
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 Buffalo Sabres 1	+0.7
Los Angeles Kings 2 New Jersey Devils 1	-0.1
Washington Capitals 1 Anaheim Ducks 2	-0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 Phoenix Coyotes 1	-0.1
New Jersey Devils 3 Florida Panthers 2	+0.1
New York Rangers 2 Detroit Red Wings 3	-0.1
New York Rangers 1 Vancouver Canucks 3	-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 New York Islanders 6	+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs 1 Washington Capitals 3	+0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Minnesota Wild 3 (ot)	-0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 Montreal Canadiens 6	+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	6	0		-	0	0	6	34	25	36	0
107	5	0		-	1		1	16	24	57	2	1	0
106	5	1		-	0		0	6	21	61	9	3	0
	4	0		-	2		0	5	19	60	11	5	0
105	4	1		-	1		0	1	10	49	24	15	0
	3	0		-	3		0	0	9	39	29	22	1
104	4	2		-	0		0	0	5	27	41	23	3	0
	3	1		-	2		0	0	4	21	40	29	6	0
	2	0		-	4			0	3	13	41	33	9	0
103	3	2		-	1			0	1	7	36	35	20	1	0
	2	1		-	3				1	3	30	34	30	1	0
	1	0		-	5				0	0	26	31	40	2	1
102	3	3		-	0				0	1	29	21	45	3	1	0
	2	2		-	2				0	1	22	19	53	4	1	0
	1	1		-	4				0	0	17	14	63	4	2	0
	0	0		-	6						17		50	33
101	2	3		-	1				0	0	10	8	65	10	7	0
	1	2		-	3					0	6	5	70	9	9	0
	0	1		-	5						5	1	73	11	9	1
100	2	4		-	0				0	0	5	1	63	10	20	1
	1	3		-	2						3	1	60	9	25	2
	0	2		-	4						2	0	58	8	29	4
99	1	4		-	1					0	1	0	39	8	44	9
	0	3		-	3						0	0	34	6	49	12
98	1	5		-	0						0	0	20	4	51	25
	0	4		-	2						0		16	2	50	31
97	0	5		-	1								5	1	39	55
96	0	6		-	0								1	0	18	81

Total:						0	0	3	7	24	23	16	21	2	3	1