New England Senior Hockey League - Kingston Bog Playoff Chances KBSummer2017 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chowder Cup			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	Avg.	Change	RPI

PlymouthCountyAllStars	2		1	0		-	0	0		6	In			2.6	%	+1.4	75	25				1.3	+0.25	1	Plymouth County All Stars
PalmaDentalLab	0		0	1		-	0	0		-6	In			No		-1.2	25	75				1.7	-0.25	4	Palma Dental Lab
NESHLKingston	0	1	0	0		-	0	0		0	95.5	%	+0.1	64.2		-0.5	64	15	10	6	4	1.7	-0.01	4	NESHL Kingston
AnnasDiesel	2		1	0		-	0	0		6	95.2		+18.6	16.6		+7.8	18	33	26	18	5	2.6	+0.72	1	Annas Diesel
FHTP	2		1	0		-	0	0		2	92.1		+16.5	13.6		+6.0	14	34	26	18	8	2.7	+0.62	1	FHTP
Vipers	0		0	1		-	0	0		-6	59.5		-16.2	1.5		-6.0	2	10	19	29	41	4.0	-0.62	4	Vipers
Beavers	0		0	1		-	0	0		-2	57.7		-18.9	1.4		-7.4	2	8	19	29	42	4.0	-0.71	4	Beavers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 5/18
Beavers 3 FHTP 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
NESHLKingston	-0.3		-0.1
AnnasDiesel	+1.7		+0.7		+0.1
FHTP	+16.6		+6.3		+0.6
Vipers	+0.1
Beavers	-18.1		-6.8		-0.7

Vipers 1 AnnasDiesel 7
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
NESHLKingston	+0.3		-0.2
AnnasDiesel	+17.6		+7.1		+0.7
FHTP	+0.2		-0.1
Vipers	-16.8		-6.0		-0.6
Beavers	-1.4		-0.7		-0.1

PlymouthCountyAllStars 11 PalmaDentalLab 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			+1.5		+0.3
PalmaDentalLab			No		-0.3
NESHLKingston			-0.1
AnnasDiesel			-0.1
Beavers			-0.1

FHTP vs NESHLKingstonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			2.72.52.6
NESHLKingston	91.996.598.9		47.469.479.9		2.11.61.3
AnnasDiesel	95.2*95.295.1		19.716.413.6
FHTP	98.694.385.2		26.78.71.5		2.22.73.2
Vipers	56.957.362.5		2.41.20.7		4.04.03.9
Beavers	57.456.758.3		1.01.71.8

PlymouthCountyAllStars vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			5.90.0No		1.11.21.4
PalmaDentalLab					1.91.81.6
NESHLKingston	92.996.497.9		52.367.275.5		2.01.61.4
AnnasDiesel			20.416.512.9		2.52.62.7
FHTP	92.4*92.191.9		17.4*13.69.7		2.62.72.8
Vipers	60.459.158.6		2.2*1.50.9		3.94.04.0
Beavers	59.157.256.5		1.91.31.0		4.04.04.1

Week of 5/25
Beavers vs NESHLKingstonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.72.21.7
NESHLKingston	91.596.999.2		52.267.075.6		2.11.61.4
AnnasDiesel	92.995.497.4		20.816.212.6
FHTP	88.691.695.8		17.913.29.4
Vipers	54.958.264.3		2.31.40.8
Beavers	72.157.943.3		3.20.1No		3.64.14.4

Beavers vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.72.21.7
NESHLKingston	91.597.099.2		52.367.075.6		2.11.61.4
AnnasDiesel	92.995.497.4		20.716.212.6
FHTP	88.691.695.8		17.913.19.4
Vipers	54.958.264.3		2.31.40.8
Beavers	72.157.943.4		3.20.1No		3.64.14.4

Vipers vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.72.21.6
NESHLKingston	91.297.199.5		52.367.175.5		2.01.61.4
AnnasDiesel	92.394.698.1		21.615.611.9
FHTP	90.492.793.8		16.914.010.1
Vipers	73.159.145.9		3.40.0No		3.64.04.3
Beavers	53.056.562.7		2.11.10.8

AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			2.72.3*2.6
NESHLKingston	92.496.698.4		47.566.780.5		2.11.61.3
AnnasDiesel	99.696.590.4		30.214.03.6		2.12.63.1
FHTP	92.192.092.2		17.013.710.2
Vipers	*59.558.859.6		1.32.01.6
Beavers	56.456.159.4		1.41.31.5		4.14.14.0

AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			2.72.3*2.6
NESHLKingston	92.496.698.4		47.566.580.5		2.11.61.3
AnnasDiesel	99.696.590.4		30.214.03.6		2.12.63.1
FHTP	*92.192.092.2		17.013.810.1
Vipers	*59.558.859.6		1.32.01.6
Beavers	56.456.159.4		1.41.31.5		4.14.14.0

PalmaDentalLab vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.91.91.5		1.41.21.1
PalmaDentalLab					1.61.81.9
NESHLKingston	92.996.497.9		52.766.775.3		2.01.61.4
AnnasDiesel			21.215.812.2		2.52.62.7
FHTP	92.4*92.191.9		17.813.29.5		2.62.72.8
Vipers	60.459.258.6		2.31.30.8		3.94.04.0
Beavers	59.157.156.5		2.11.10.8		4.04.04.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.