New England Senior Hockey League - Kingston Bog Playoff Chances KBSummer2017

																	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chowder Cup			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

PlymouthCountyAllStars	2		1	0		-	0	0		6	In			3.3	%	+2.0	96	4				1.0	+0.46	1	.707	Plymouth County All Stars
PalmaDentalLab	0		0	1		-	0	0		-6	In			No		-1.2	4	96				2.0	-0.46	4	.293	Palma Dental Lab
AnnasDiesel	2		1	0		-	0	0		6	99.2	%	+22.6	23.6		+14.7	26	37	28	9	1	2.2	+1.09	1	.673	Annas Diesel
NESHLKingston	0	1	0	0		-	0	0		0	97.0		+1.5	56.3		-8.4	56	20	13	7	3	1.8	-0.10	4	.500	NESHL Kingston
FHTP	2		1	0		-	0	0		2	97.0		+21.3	16.1		+8.6	17	36	34	11	3	2.5	+0.87	1	.601	FHTP
Beavers	0		0	1		-	0	0		-2	62.0		-14.6	0.5		-8.4	1	5	15	42	38	4.1	-0.81	4	.399	Beavers
Vipers	0		0	1		-	0	0		-6	44.9		-30.8	0.3		-7.3	0	3	10	31	55	4.4	-1.04	4	.327	Vipers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 5/18
Beavers 3 FHTP 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
AnnasDiesel	+1.7		+0.7		+0.1
NESHLKingston	-0.3		-0.1
FHTP	+16.6		+6.3		+0.6
Beavers	-18.1		-6.8		-0.7
Vipers	+0.1

Vipers 1 AnnasDiesel 7
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
AnnasDiesel	+17.6		+7.2		+0.7
NESHLKingston	+0.3		-0.3
FHTP	+0.2		-0.1
Beavers	-1.4		-0.7		-0.1
Vipers	-16.8		-6.0		-0.6

PlymouthCountyAllStars 11 PalmaDentalLab 5
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			+1.5		+0.3
PalmaDentalLab			No		-0.3
AnnasDiesel			-0.1
NESHLKingston			-0.1

FHTP vs NESHLKingstonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.42.53.3
AnnasDiesel			27.422.218.1
NESHLKingston	95.298.199.3		41.564.976.3		2.11.61.3
FHTP	99.797.992.6		27.09.61.5		2.12.63.0
Beavers	62.261.461.8		0.30.60.7
Vipers	43.743.447.1		0.40.20.1

PlymouthCountyAllStars vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			5.10.0No		1.01.01.1
PalmaDentalLab					2.02.01.9
AnnasDiesel			26.921.416.4		2.22.32.4
NESHLKingston	95.998.299.0		48.363.772.9		2.01.61.4
FHTP	97.096.996.8		18.814.210.2		2.42.52.6
Beavers	62.461.461.0		0.50.40.3		4.14.24.2
Vipers	45.444.343.9		0.30.30.1

Week of 5/25
Vipers vs NESHLKingstonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			5.82.62.2
AnnasDiesel	98.298.999.7		31.324.619.6		2.12.22.3
NESHLKingston	91.197.699.7		39.754.764.7		2.31.81.6
FHTP	95.997.097.5		21.617.613.2		2.42.52.5
Beavers	55.059.265.8		0.80.40.3
Vipers	59.947.437.2		0.90.0No		4.04.44.6

Beavers vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			5.32.52.0
AnnasDiesel	98.699.299.6		30.124.219.1
NESHLKingston	93.297.699.4		41.256.566.3		2.31.81.5
FHTP	95.296.498.3		21.716.612.3
Beavers	74.765.152.9		1.30.0No		3.74.14.4
Vipers	38.441.649.9		0.40.30.2		4.44.44.3

Beavers vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			5.32.52.0
AnnasDiesel	98.699.299.6		30.124.119.1
NESHLKingston	93.297.699.4		41.156.566.4		2.31.81.5
FHTP	95.296.498.3		21.716.612.4
Beavers	74.765.152.9		1.30.0No		3.74.14.4
Vipers	38.441.749.9		0.40.30.2		4.44.44.3

PalmaDentalLab vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			6.02.62.2		1.11.01.0
PalmaDentalLab					1.92.02.0
AnnasDiesel			31.425.120.1		2.12.22.3
NESHLKingston	93.897.198.3		39.053.963.9		2.21.81.6
FHTP	97.197.096.9		22.317.613.3		2.32.42.5
Beavers	63.361.861.4		0.80.50.3		4.04.14.2
Vipers	46.6*44.944.2		0.50.30.2		4.34.44.4

AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.02.44.1
AnnasDiesel	100.099.397.6		34.617.23.1		1.92.42.8
NESHLKingston	95.798.299.1		43.164.480.8		2.11.61.3
FHTP			18.715.211.1
Beavers	*62.061.362.1		0.40.40.7
Vipers	45.344.244.3		0.20.40.3

AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingstonHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PlymouthCountyAllStars			3.02.44.1
AnnasDiesel	100.099.497.6		34.617.23.1		1.92.42.8
NESHLKingston	95.798.299.1		43.164.480.8		2.11.61.3
FHTP			18.715.211.1
Beavers	*62.061.362.1		0.40.40.7
Vipers	45.344.344.3		0.20.40.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.