Moon Man Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Eric 93.34-88.58, playoff odds up 5.4 to 6.3%
4-7 .364
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dave 93.34 Eric 88.58 | +7.8 | +1.2 | ||
| Laurel 94.74 Jenn 97.14 | -0.3 | |||
| Ethan 111.1 Shawn 96.48 | +0.1 | |||
| Shara 71.8 Tom H 63.14 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Tom K 52.98 Riley 68.8 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 11/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dave vs Tom H | +3.1Out | +0.4-0.8 | ||
| Shara vs Shawn | -2.0+2.7 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Laurel vs Riley | +1.5-2.9 | +0.1-0.3 | ||
| Justin vs Tom K | -1.2+3.0 | |||
| Jenn vs Eric | -2.6+0.9 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
| Erica vs Ethan | -0.5+0.2 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Dave finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 22.2 | % | 2 | 20 | 50 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 10,241,803 | ||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 0 | 18,957,848 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 86 | 13 | 1 | 6,789,365 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 6.3 | % | 1 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 35,989,016 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/17 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dave 93.34 Eric 88.58 | -1.2 | |
| Shara 71.8 Tom H 63.14 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 11/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dave vs Tom H | -0.4+0.8 | |
| Laurel vs Riley | -0.1+0.3 | |
| Shara vs Shawn | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Erica vs Ethan | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Jenn vs Eric | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 20 | 50 | 22 | 6 | 1 | |||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 0 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | 86 | 13 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:13 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
