New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Brewers 180-85, playoff odds up 0.008 to 0.02%

3-6-0 .333

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

14		11	-	0	-	0	85.2	%	1	11	16	57	14	1							751
13	.5	10	-	0	-	1	32.1				4	28	51	17							53
13		10	-	1	-	0	20.4			0	2	19	49	28	2						1,899
		9	-	0	-	2	11.1					11	56	28	6						18
12	.5	9	-	1	-	1	3.3				0	3	31	55	11						1,199	*
12		9	-	2	-	0	0.9				0	1	18	53	28	0					20,010
		8	-	1	-	2	0.9				0	1	18	52	29						328
11	.5	8	-	2	-	1	0.1					0	6	54	40	0					10,894
		7	-	1	-	3	Out							57	43						51
11		8	-	3	-	0	0.0					0	2	34	63	0					114,133
		7	-	2	-	2	0.1					0	2	33	65	0					2,457
		6	-	1	-	4	Out							40	60						5
10	.5	7	-	3	-	1	0.0					0	0	27	72	1					51,825
		6	-	2	-	3	Out						0	28	72						334
10		7	-	4	-	0	0.0					0	0	12	86	2	0				405,390
		6	-	3	-	2	Out						0	12	86	2					9,792
		5	-	2	-	4	Out							8	92						25
9	.5	6	-	4	-	1	Out						0	9	86	5	0				153,039
		5	-	3	-	3	Out						0	9	87	4					1,027	*
9		6	-	5	-	0	Out						0	3	86	11	0				925,841
		5	-	4	-	2	Out							3	86	11	0				23,769
		4	-	3	-	4	Out							2	80	19					64
8	.5	5	-	5	-	1	Out							1	77	21	1	0			280,182
		4	-	4	-	3	Out							2	76	22	1				2,009
		3	-	3	-	5	Out								80	20					5
8		5	-	6	-	0	Out						0	0	64	33	3	0			1,367,730
		4	-	5	-	2	Out							0	62	35	3	0			34,294
		3	-	4	-	4	Out							1	68	25	6				88
7	.5	4	-	6	-	1	Out							0	45	48	7	0			325,529
		3	-	5	-	3	Out								44	48	8	0			2,155
		2	-	4	-	5	Out								67	33					3
7		4	-	7	-	0	Out							0	29	53	18	0	0		1,302,798
		3	-	6	-	2	Out							0	26	55	19	0	0		29,587
		2	-	5	-	4	Out								16	58	26				57
6	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out							0	11	53	34	2	0		233,025
		2	-	6	-	3	Out								11	50	36	2			1,413	*
6		3	-	8	-	0	Out							0	5	36	50	9	1	0	780,051
		2	-	7	-	2	Out								4	34	52	10	1		15,228
		1	-	6	-	4	Out									31	63	6			35
5	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out								0	17	57	23	3	0	99,385
		1	-	7	-	3	Out								0	14	54	28	4		407
5		2	-	9	-	0	Out								0	5	40	39	14	1	278,008
		1	-	8	-	2	Out								0	4	40	39	15	2	4,018
		0	-	7	-	4	Out									33		67			3
4	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out									0	19	46	31	5	22,298
		0	-	8	-	3	Out									2	20	47	24	7	45
4		1	-	10	-	0	Out									0	4	26	50	20	53,748
		0	-	9	-	2	Out										4	31	45	21	455
3	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out											10	53	37	2,019
3		0	-	11	-	0	Out											3	38	59	5,113

Total:							0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	3	48	30	14	4	1	0	6,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

14		11	-	0	-	0		1	8	21	33	21	1		12	2
13	.5	10	-	0	-	1				2	2	21	6	2	17	43	8
13		10	-	1	-	0				0	1	9	10	0	22	46	10	1
		9	-	0	-	2							11		6	39	33		11
12	.5	9	-	1	-	1						0	2	1	4	32	40	19	2
12		9	-	2	-	0						0	1	0	3	34	42	17	3	0
		8	-	1	-	2							1	0		4	21	35	33	5	1
11	.5	8	-	2	-	1							0	0	0	5	22	40	27	7	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3												12	41	22	22	4
11		8	-	3	-	0							0	0	0	4	22	39	28	7	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2								0		0	1	11	35	39	13	2
		6	-	1	-	4														40	40		20
10	.5	7	-	3	-	1								0		0	1	11	33	38	14	2	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3												0	3	22	38	30	6	0
10		7	-	4	-	0								0		0	1	11	33	38	15	2	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2											0	0	4	21	40	28	7	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4															8	44	20	28
9	.5	6	-	4	-	1											0	0	4	21	40	27	7	1	0
		5	-	3	-	3														2	11	37	33	14	3
9		6	-	5	-	0										0	0	0	4	20	40	28	7	1	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2													0	1	12	35	35	14	3	0
		4	-	3	-	4															2	8	25	36	25	5
8	.5	5	-	5	-	1												0	0	1	12	34	35	15	3	0
		4	-	4	-	3															0	8	29	39	20	3
		3	-	3	-	5																	20		60	20
8		5	-	6	-	0												0	0	1	11	34	35	16	3	0
		4	-	5	-	2														0	1	8	27	39	22	3	0
		3	-	4	-	4																1	7	30	43	19
7	.5	4	-	6	-	1														0	1	7	26	39	24	4	0
		3	-	5	-	3																0	4	23	48	23	1	0
		2	-	4	-	5																			33	67
7		4	-	7	-	0														0	1	7	25	39	25	4	0
		3	-	6	-	2															0	0	4	23	47	24	1	0
		2	-	5	-	4																		2	23	63	11	2
6	.5	3	-	7	-	1															0	0	4	22	46	26	1	0	0
		2	-	6	-	3																		2	25	55	16	1
6		3	-	8	-	0															0	0	4	20	46	28	2	0	0
		2	-	7	-	2																0	0	2	23	55	17	2	0
		1	-	6	-	4																				37	37	23	3
5	.5	2	-	8	-	1																0	0	2	21	55	19	2	0
		1	-	7	-	3																			2	28	44	22	4
5		2	-	9	-	0																0	0	2	19	56	21	3	0	0
		1	-	8	-	2																	0		1	27	44	22	4	0
		0	-	7	-	4																					33	33	33
4	.5	1	-	9	-	1																		0	1	23	45	26	5	0
		0	-	8	-	3																					20	42	33	4
4		1	-	10	-	0																		0	0	19	44	30	6	0
		0	-	9	-	2																				1	16	43	33	7
3	.5	0	-	10	-	1																				1	10	42	40	7
3		0	-	11	-	0																					6	38	44	11

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	11	15	17	17	15	9	2	1	0	0