Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Mets 123-98, playoff odds up 11.9 to 96.4%

7-2-0 .778

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18		11	-	0	-	0	In		96	4											183,809
17	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		91	9											56,879
17		10	-	1	-	0	In		65	34	1										791,162
		9	-	0	-	2	In		70	29	1										8,077
16	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		50	48	2										220,239
		8	-	0	-	3	In		52	46	2										720
16		9	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	21	62	16	0	0								1,438,129
		8	-	1	-	2	In		24	62	14										27,577
		7	-	0	-	4	In		25	72	3										32
15	.5	8	-	2	-	1	100.0		10	65	25	0	0								353,835
		7	-	1	-	3	In		11	67	22										2,009
		6	-	0	-	5	In				100										1
15		8	-	3	-	0	99.8		2	41	57	0	0	0							1,453,580
		7	-	2	-	2	99.9		2	43	54	0	0	0							38,499
		6	-	1	-	4	In			43	57										99
14	.5	7	-	3	-	1	99.3		0	28	70	1	1	0							310,916
		6	-	2	-	3	99.6		0	30	68	0	0	0							2,420
14		7	-	4	-	0	95.8		0	11	84	1	3	1							906,557
		6	-	3	-	2	96.9		0	11	85	1	2	1							29,012
		5	-	2	-	4	98.1			12	86		1	1							106
13	.5	6	-	4	-	1	90.8		0	4	86	1	6	4							166,682
		5	-	3	-	3	91.2			5	86	1	6	3							1,564
		4	-	2	-	5	In			33	67										3
13		6	-	5	-	0	79.2			1	78	0	7	14	0						364,983
		5	-	4	-	2	81.7			1	80	0	6	12	0						13,257
		4	-	3	-	4	92.6			2	91		7								54
12	.5	5	-	5	-	1	65.6			0	65	0	7	27	0						56,473
		4	-	4	-	3	69.0			0	68	0	6	25							642
		3	-	3	-	5	Out							100							1
12		5	-	6	-	0	49.7			0	50	0	4	46	0						96,731
		4	-	5	-	2	49.5			0	49	0	5	46	0						3,618
		3	-	4	-	4	54.5				55			45							11
11	.5	4	-	6	-	1	32.7				33	0	3	64	1						12,289
		3	-	5	-	3	27.2				27		7	65	1						114
11		4	-	7	-	0	20.4				20	0	1	76	3						17,189
		3	-	6	-	2	20.0				20	0	1	75	4						634
		2	-	5	-	4	Out							100							2
10	.5	3	-	7	-	1	8.2				8		0	84	8	0					1,787
		2	-	6	-	3	Out							94	6						16
10		3	-	8	-	0	3.6				4		0	80	16	0					1,855
		2	-	7	-	2	1.6				2			75	24						63
9	.5	2	-	8	-	1	1.6				2			64	33	1					129
		1	-	7	-	3	Out								100						1
9		2	-	9	-	0	Out							46	49	5					142
		1	-	8	-	2	Out							67	33						3
8	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out							43	43	14					7
8		1	-	10	-	0	Out								60	40					5
7		0	-	11	-	0	Out							0	27	47	22	3			679

Total:							96.4	%	19	36	42	0	1	2	0	0	0	0			6,562,592

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18		11	-	0	-	0	96	4	0
17	.5	10	-	0	-	1	71	26	2	0
17		10	-	1	-	0	67	30	3	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2	28	46	21	5	0
16	.5	9	-	1	-	1	25	46	23	5	1	0
		8	-	0	-	3	2	23	37	26	10	1
16		9	-	2	-	0	23	45	25	6	1	0			0
		8	-	1	-	2	3	19	35	29	11	2	0
		7	-	0	-	4			6	34	41	19
15	.5	8	-	2	-	1	3	17	34	30	13	2	0		0
		7	-	1	-	3		2	10	28	39	20	1
		6	-	0	-	5						100
15		8	-	3	-	0	2	16	34	31	14	3	0		0	0
		7	-	2	-	2	0	1	9	27	39	23	1	0	0	0
		6	-	1	-	4				4	28	55	13
14	.5	7	-	3	-	1	0	1	8	26	39	24	1	0	1	0
		6	-	2	-	3			1	4	23	54	18	0	0	0
14		7	-	4	-	0	0	1	7	24	38	24	1	0	4	1	0
		6	-	3	-	2		0	0	4	22	54	17	0	2	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4					2	39	56	2		2
13	.5	6	-	4	-	1		0	0	3	20	51	16	0	5	4	0
		5	-	3	-	3				0	3	32	52	4	2	6	1
		4	-	2	-	5							33	67
13		6	-	5	-	0		0	0	2	17	45	15	0	11	9	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2				0	2	29	47	4	4	12	2	0
		4	-	3	-	4							61	31		4	4
12	.5	5	-	5	-	1				0	2	22	39	3	7	24	4	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3						3	45	21	1	14	12	4	0
		3	-	3	-	5													100
12		5	-	6	-	0				0	1	16	30	2	9	35	6	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2					0	3	34	13	1	23	20	6	1	0
		3	-	4	-	4							18	36			18	18	9
11	.5	4	-	6	-	1						2	22	9	1	29	27	9	1	0
		3	-	5	-	3							8	19	1	3	24	30	14	2
11		4	-	7	-	0					0	1	13	6	2	33	33	11	1	0
		3	-	6	-	2							6	14		7	24	32	15	2	0
		2	-	5	-	4													50	50
10	.5	3	-	7	-	1							2	6		5	25	40	19	2		0
		2	-	6	-	3												31	31	25	13
10		3	-	8	-	0							1	2		5	25	41	21	3	0
		2	-	7	-	2								2				19	44	24	8	2	2
9	.5	2	-	8	-	1							1	1			4	15	29	37	13
		1	-	7	-	3														100
9		2	-	9	-	0											1	13	39	32	13	2
		1	-	8	-	2														33	67
8	.5	1	-	9	-	1														43	14	29	14
8		1	-	10	-	0														20	60		20
7		0	-	11	-	0																1	16	41	36	5	1

Total:							18	20	17	15	13	10	3	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0