Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Nationals 72-210, playoff odds down 17 to 5.1%

5-4-0 .556

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16		11	-	0	-	0	In		32	59	9										4,719
15	.5	10	-	0	-	1	98.7	%	14	61	15	9	1								1,916
15		10	-	1	-	0	93.0		3	38	32	20	7	0							50,473
		9	-	0	-	2	93.3		4	39	34	17	7								400
14	.5	9	-	1	-	1	74.7		0	19	34	22	24	1							20,799
		8	-	0	-	3	80.9			19	45	17	19								47
14		9	-	2	-	0	48.2		0	5	27	16	41	11							262,162
		8	-	1	-	2	52.3		0	6	29	17	39	9							3,755
		7	-	0	-	4	In			50		50									2
13	.5	8	-	2	-	1	25.3			1	17	8	49	26	0						93,950
		7	-	1	-	3	29.9			2	17	11	45	25							442
13		8	-	3	-	0	11.1			0	8	3	37	52	0						748,978
		7	-	2	-	2	12.6			0	10	3	38	50	0						14,433
		6	-	1	-	4	12.0				8	4	36	52							25
12	.5	7	-	3	-	1	4.1			0	3	1	25	71	0						227,581
		6	-	2	-	3	4.9				4	1	26	69							1,339
12		7	-	4	-	0	1.4			0	1	0	13	85	0						1,289,623
		6	-	3	-	2	1.5				1	0	14	85	0						29,326
		5	-	2	-	4	3.0				2	2	15	82							66
11	.5	6	-	4	-	1	0.4				0	0	6	93	0	0					325,585
		5	-	3	-	3	0.4				0	0	6	93	0						2,228
		4	-	2	-	5	Out							100							2
11		6	-	5	-	0	0.1				0	0	3	96	1	0					1,390,648
		5	-	4	-	2	0.1				0	0	2	96	1	0					34,726
		4	-	3	-	4	1.1				1		1	98							88
10	.5	5	-	5	-	1	0.0				0	0	1	95	4	0					286,633
		4	-	4	-	3	0.1				0		1	95	4	0					1,994	*
10		5	-	6	-	0	0.0				0		0	92	7	0					954,323
		4	-	5	-	2	0.0				0		0	92	8	0					24,246
		3	-	4	-	4	Out							96	4						50
9	.5	4	-	6	-	1	0.0				0		0	80	19	1	0				156,645
		3	-	5	-	3	Out							78	21	1					1,069
9		4	-	7	-	0	Out						0	70	27	2	0				417,730
		3	-	6	-	2	Out						0	70	28	2	0				10,288
		2	-	5	-	4	Out							61	33	6					36
8	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out						0	44	46	9	0				53,110
		2	-	6	-	3	Out							37	53	10					333
8		3	-	8	-	0	Out						0	32	51	17	1	0			115,785
		2	-	7	-	2	Out							29	52	18	0	0			2,490
		1	-	6	-	4	Out							100							2
7	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out							10	46	39	5	0			10,716
		1	-	7	-	3	Out							8	33	57	2				51
7		2	-	9	-	0	Out							5	38	48	9	0	0		19,635
		1	-	8	-	2	Out							4	38	48	10				302
6	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out							0	13	54	28	4			1,112
		0	-	8	-	3	Out									83	17				6
6		1	-	10	-	0	Out							0	7	41	39	12	1		1,905
		0	-	9	-	2	Out									52	30	13	4		23
5	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out								2	22	48	19	7	2	58
5		0	-	11	-	0	Out									5	25	42	25	4	737

Total:							5.1	%	0	1	3	1	11	77	5	1	0	0	0	0	6,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

16		11	-	0	-	0	15	40	32	12	2	0
15	.5	10	-	0	-	1	1	5	21	38	28	7	0		1	0
15		10	-	1	-	0	0	3	16	34	30	9	0		7	0
		9	-	0	-	2			1	10	31	46	5		6	1
14	.5	9	-	1	-	1		0	1	7	26	36	5	0	20	6	0
		8	-	0	-	3				2	6	53	17	2	11	6	2
14		9	-	2	-	0	0	0	0	4	16	24	4	0	37	14	0
		8	-	1	-	2				0	5	28	19	0	18	28	2	0
		7	-	0	-	4							100
13	.5	8	-	2	-	1				0	2	13	10	0	25	47	3	0
		7	-	1	-	3						7	21	2	7	44	16	2
13		8	-	3	-	0			0	0	1	6	5	0	28	57	4	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2				0	0	3	9	1	7	54	23	3	0
		6	-	1	-	4							12			28	40	20
12	.5	7	-	3	-	1				0	0	1	3	0	7	59	27	4	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3						0	3	2	1	22	44	23	4	0
12		7	-	4	-	0				0	0	0	1	0	6	60	29	4	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2						0	1	1	1	24	45	25	4	0
		5	-	2	-	4							2	2		5	15	33	35	8	2
11	.5	6	-	4	-	1						0	0	0	1	23	45	26	5	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3							0	0		3	22	41	27	6	0
		4	-	2	-	5													50	50
11		6	-	5	-	0						0	0	0	0	22	46	27	5	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2							0	0	0	3	20	41	29	6	1	0
		4	-	3	-	4								1				13	41	34	10	1
10	.5	5	-	5	-	1							0	0	0	2	19	41	30	7	1	0
		4	-	4	-	3								0		0	1	10	37	35	14	2	0
10		5	-	6	-	0							0	0	0	2	19	41	30	7	1	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2							0			0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4												2	6	24	38	20	8	2
9	.5	4	-	6	-	1								0		0	1	11	32	37	16	3	0	0
		3	-	5	-	3												0	3	19	36	29	10	1	0
9		4	-	7	-	0										0	1	10	31	37	17	3	0	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2												0	3	19	36	29	11	2	0	0
		2	-	5	-	4															8	31	28	19	11	3
8	.5	3	-	7	-	1											0	0	3	16	35	31	12	2	0	0
		2	-	6	-	3														1	5	23	39	26	5	2
8		3	-	8	-	0											0	0	2	15	34	32	14	3	0	0
		2	-	7	-	2														1	6	23	36	26	9	0	0
		1	-	6	-	4																		50	50
7	.5	2	-	8	-	1														0	5	21	35	29	9	1
		1	-	7	-	3																	12	37	41	10
7		2	-	9	-	0													0	0	4	19	36	29	10	1
		1	-	8	-	2																1	10	34	40	14	1
6	.5	1	-	9	-	1																1	8	30	43	16	1
		0	-	8	-	3																		50	17	33
6		1	-	10	-	0																1	8	28	44	18	2
		0	-	9	-	2																			22	43	26	9
5	.5	0	-	10	-	1																		5	29	43	17	5
5		0	-	11	-	0																		0	5	31	45	17	2

Total:							0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	7	28	23	17	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0