Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Reds 123-166, playoff odds down 0.005 to 0.004%

2-7-0 .222

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

13		11	-	0	-	0	40.9	%		0	8	33	44	14	0						679
10.5	-11						Out							100							5	*
10		8	-	3	-	0	Out							34	62	4					74
		7	-	2	-	2	Out								100						1
9	.5	7	-	3	-	1	Out							17	78	5					87
		6	-	2	-	3	Out							50	50						2
9		7	-	4	-	0	Out						0	12	69	18	0				953
		6	-	3	-	2	Out							3	78	17	3				36
8	.5	6	-	4	-	1	Out							4	66	28	2				1,078
		5	-	3	-	3	Out							11	50	39					18
8		6	-	5	-	0	Out							2	47	44	7	0			9,312
		5	-	4	-	2	Out							2	46	44	7				466
		4	-	3	-	4	Out								20	80					5
7	.5	5	-	5	-	1	Out							0	32	51	17	1			8,572
		4	-	4	-	3	Out								33	59	8				123
7		5	-	6	-	0	Out							0	14	48	33	5	0		61,101
		4	-	5	-	2	Out							0	13	47	34	6	0		3,188
		3	-	4	-	4	Out							5	10	50	30	5			20
6	.5	4	-	6	-	1	Out								5	33	48	13	1		44,753
		3	-	5	-	3	Out								4	34	46	16	1		624
		2	-	4	-	5	Out									50		50			2
6		4	-	7	-	0	Out								1	17	48	30	4	0	273,470
		3	-	6	-	2	Out								1	14	48	33	4	0	12,982
		2	-	5	-	4	Out									14	41	41	5		64
5	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out								0	4	36	49	10	0	155,561
		2	-	6	-	3	Out								0	4	34	50	12	0	1,870
		1	-	5	-	5	Out										20	80			5
5		3	-	8	-	0	Out								0	1	19	50	28	2	820,105
		2	-	7	-	2	Out									1	16	52	30	2	31,920
		1	-	6	-	4	Out									2	13	51	31	4	111
4	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out									0	5	44	45	6	337,361
		1	-	7	-	3	Out										4	42	47	7	2,855
		0	-	6	-	5	Out											50	25	25	4
4		2	-	9	-	0	Out									0	2	24	59	16	1,566,609
		1	-	8	-	2	Out										1	22	61	17	44,540
		0	-	7	-	4	Out											16	66	18	85
3	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out										0	10	56	34	412,988
		0	-	8	-	3	Out											9	56	35	1,911
3		1	-	10	-	0	Out										0	3	48	49	1,708,843
		0	-	9	-	2	Out											2	48	50	26,773
2	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out											0	26	73	217,699
2		0	-	11	-	0	Out											0	19	80	815,737

Total:							0.0	%		0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	19	40	32	6,562,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

13		11	-	0	-	0				2	8	20	10	1	35	22	2
11		9	-	2	-	0										25	25	25		25
10	.5	8	-	2	-	1												100
10		8	-	3	-	0											3	11	28	41	16	1
		7	-	2	-	2															100
9	.5	7	-	3	-	1													1	16	38	30	13	2
		6	-	2	-	3																			100
9		7	-	4	-	0												0	2	15	34	33	13	2	0
		6	-	3	-	2															3	31	28	28	11
8	.5	6	-	4	-	1														0	5	21	35	29	9	1
		5	-	3	-	3																	11	28	56	6
8		6	-	5	-	0														0	4	19	36	29	10	2	0
		5	-	4	-	2																2	9	27	35	24	3	0
		4	-	3	-	4																				60	40
7	.5	5	-	5	-	1															0	1	8	26	38	23	4	0
		4	-	4	-	3																		2	22	46	24	7
7		5	-	6	-	0															0	1	7	24	39	25	4	0
		4	-	5	-	2																	0	3	16	43	34	4	0
		3	-	4	-	4																			5	20	50	25
6	.5	4	-	6	-	1																0	0	2	16	44	34	4	0
		3	-	5	-	3																			1	17	50	28	4
		2	-	4	-	5																					50	50
6		4	-	7	-	0																0	0	2	14	44	35	4	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2																		0	1	14	52	29	4	0
		2	-	5	-	4																					16	53	30	2
5	.5	3	-	7	-	1																		0	1	13	52	31	4	0
		2	-	6	-	3																				1	21	49	25	3
		1	-	5	-	5																						60	20	20
5		3	-	8	-	0																		0	0	12	52	31	4	0
		2	-	7	-	2																			0	1	20	51	25	3
		1	-	6	-	4																					5	29	45	21
4	.5	2	-	8	-	1																			0	1	20	51	26	3
		1	-	7	-	3																					2	26	52	19
		0	-	6	-	5																								100
4		2	-	9	-	0																			0	1	20	51	26	3
		1	-	8	-	2																				0	2	27	51	20
		0	-	7	-	4																						7	40	53
3	.5	1	-	9	-	1																				0	2	26	52	20
		0	-	8	-	3																						3	37	60
3		1	-	10	-	0																				0	2	26	52	20
		0	-	9	-	2																					0	4	38	58
2	.5	0	-	10	-	1																					0	4	38	58
2		0	-	11	-	0																					0	4	38	58

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	16	29	31	17